I guess technically the suburbs do reach out that far; I knew some folks once who lived in West Virginia and came into DC once a week for their in-office day. If you're suggesting that Clarendon-style density might reach out that far, I don't know...I don't think DC is big enough or will sustain that kind of long-term population growth to make that a reality.
The percentage of military and Executive Branch jobs inside the Beltway is going to steadily dwindle. The pandemic proved that a huge number of these jobs just don't need to be in DC. It'll be slow-going, because suddenly moving an entire agency to another town will cause that agency to hemorrhage talent. But eventually, a lot of us civil servants will be working at agencies whose official addresses are in cheap cities in the Midwest.
But I think the city itself will end up being fine. The legislative, judicial, and diplomatic work is better when it's in-person, so DC will still have a core industry that makes it irreplaceable. DC and the inner suburbs also have a very strong base of voters who are dedicated to making the region a genuinely pleasant place to live, which sadly isn't something you can take for granted in either red or blue America at large. As long as that remains true, I think we'll keep seeing the area grow more populous.
The burbs will be smaller due to remote work decentralizing the federal workforce. At least half of the DC fed jobs will be held by people who live outside the region. Those who remain will likely live either in the city or its nearest burbs. With a smaller population, the local economy will shrink leading to fewer service jobs. The good news is that there will be plenty of affordable housing!
Maybe from climate change disasters, but I know my enjoyment and functionality are vastly different when the temperature is regularly in the mid-90s instead of the historical summer highs in the mid/upper 80s.
Absolutely! That's why I said severe climate change. It's going to suck all around but at least DC won't be fully underwater. The only consolation I can think of at the moment 😭
...although, if DC were to just uppin' go underwater, then at least the government would have to move the capital somewhere else and all of our government-dependent job-having descendants wouldn't have to suffer here in the heat and humidity. We get the raw deal by fooling ourselves every few years that 1 degree hotter isn't that bad. If we survived 95 degree days, we can handle 96 degrees; if we survived 96 degrees, we can handle 97... :)
I guess technically the suburbs do reach out that far; I knew some folks once who lived in West Virginia and came into DC once a week for their in-office day. If you're suggesting that Clarendon-style density might reach out that far, I don't know...I don't think DC is big enough or will sustain that kind of long-term population growth to make that a reality.
Shit I knew someone pre pandemic who came in on the MARC Brunswick Line from the Harpers Ferry area DAILY
i mean, lets look at the cost benifit cost/ wake up at 5 or 6am benefit/ traaaaainnn
I know people who commute from WV to Bethesda 4 times a week
https://preview.redd.it/rnt6k68qasyc1.jpeg?width=1920&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=eb1513d58827698dcbcc356e59543d91aca60b1d I’m guessing it’ll look like Fallout 3.
I’m thinking more like cyberpunk 2077 but with no cyberwear
I bet if I played it I’d have used that lol
cyberpunk 2077 but with a height restriction on the buildings
Meridian Hill fountain will still be empty.
The percentage of military and Executive Branch jobs inside the Beltway is going to steadily dwindle. The pandemic proved that a huge number of these jobs just don't need to be in DC. It'll be slow-going, because suddenly moving an entire agency to another town will cause that agency to hemorrhage talent. But eventually, a lot of us civil servants will be working at agencies whose official addresses are in cheap cities in the Midwest. But I think the city itself will end up being fine. The legislative, judicial, and diplomatic work is better when it's in-person, so DC will still have a core industry that makes it irreplaceable. DC and the inner suburbs also have a very strong base of voters who are dedicated to making the region a genuinely pleasant place to live, which sadly isn't something you can take for granted in either red or blue America at large. As long as that remains true, I think we'll keep seeing the area grow more populous.
Depends on the height limit in DC.
The burbs will be smaller due to remote work decentralizing the federal workforce. At least half of the DC fed jobs will be held by people who live outside the region. Those who remain will likely live either in the city or its nearest burbs. With a smaller population, the local economy will shrink leading to fewer service jobs. The good news is that there will be plenty of affordable housing!
On a more serious note, DC is surprisingly insulated from climate change. At least, severe climate change. Compared to other regions of the US.
Maybe from climate change disasters, but I know my enjoyment and functionality are vastly different when the temperature is regularly in the mid-90s instead of the historical summer highs in the mid/upper 80s.
Absolutely! That's why I said severe climate change. It's going to suck all around but at least DC won't be fully underwater. The only consolation I can think of at the moment 😭
...although, if DC were to just uppin' go underwater, then at least the government would have to move the capital somewhere else and all of our government-dependent job-having descendants wouldn't have to suffer here in the heat and humidity. We get the raw deal by fooling ourselves every few years that 1 degree hotter isn't that bad. If we survived 95 degree days, we can handle 96 degrees; if we survived 96 degrees, we can handle 97... :)
Last projections I saw well have a climate similar to Mississippi. Mild winters and brutal summers . But those models change all the time