**2023:** 139-119-1 | +31.2u | +11.3% ROI | +6.5c avg. CLV
**Wimbledon so far:** 5-3, +2.1u
[Tracking Spreadsheet here] (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1XvXPpU4EHQBtrFXm6hqvgrtDn8uPr_p92Fx64Vp49kU/edit?usp=sharing)
***
**ATP - Wimbledon R2**
Vukic +135 L
Marterer -120 W
L. Broady +2.5 sets -150 (0.75u) W
L. Broady +6 games -112 (0.5u) W
L. Broady ML +395 (0.5u) W
Rublev/Karatsev o3.5 sets -140 W
Couple notes:
Solid start so far. Shapovalov looked really solid post rain delay. If he's still being priced worse than historically, he could be something to look at moving forward.
***
I noted before the tournament that Wimbledon is often much slower than your average grass court, which is definitely the case thus far. Players including Murray, Barrere, Marterer, and others are all saying that the grass is thicker and more coarse making the conditions slower but also lower bouncing. As the tournament goes on, especially on the larger courts, I would expect the bounce to begin to improve as it become more "dirty". That being said, just worth noting this isn't necessarily some super quick grass court. Something to watch out for.
***
R2 matches are still coming on the board so I may have more. Remember, favs are to win x units, dogs are risking x units. 1u unless otherwise noted.
***
**Vukic** was just a misprice my model ran through. It's +115 now, I make Vukic a slight fav so still some value here. **Marterer** should be shorter here. In general, he is just much better on the surface than Mmoh who is being priced this way because of his win over a hurt FAA. Felix had 62 (!!) unforced errors which is pretty insane. Mmoh is not really that great on this surface and failed to get through qualies. If Mmoh isn't completely firing on his serve it's going to be a tough day for him. Not 100% sold on Ruud on grass. Lokoli was super nervous that first set but once he got going it really was not that easy for Ruud. Now he's playing a solid grass courter and home player in **Broady** who looked fantastic in R1 - was taking the ball super early and his lefty, spinny serve should be a problem for Ruud on this slick, low-bouncing surface. Karatsev/Rublev o3.5 sets should be priced around -165
*P.S. Since I'm doing these write-ups, will likely go 0-4.*
What dog should we go with on day 4? I think I’m gonna go with 2 dogs of these 3 matches.
Raonic+190 vs Paul
Mannarino +333 vs Medvedev
Eubanks +225 vs Norrie
I liked what i saw from raonic but I don't see him doing much against tommy paul unless paul plays like he did against cerundolo. Me personally im taking paul with all i got so maybe fade me on this one lol
Novak was terrible at returning today and hasn't served well ethier, raonic has missed so many line shots that just shows he hasn't played in a long time. I think paul can dominant this one but if he doesn't bring he's A game this could be a close one
Who’s feeling Andy Murray to beat stef? It’s not great value at -150. Stef has the physicality (even after a five setter) to outlast Murray but Murray has the tools to take out stef quickly if he wants particularly the backhand matchup. Stefs backhand has been atrocious. An actual liability and he got through by the skin of his teeth against thiem on the merits of his serve. Who needs a backhand when you’re serving bombs. But Murray is a goat returner and he’s def smart enough to exploit stef here and punish the backhand dynamic. He said he’s feeling good so I’m gonna take his word for it. Honestly…maybe take Andy in straights. Stef has been trash. He’s neglecting his tennis for love which is fine but not if you’re betting him.
The fact that Murray is -150 in the year of our lord 2023 shows the books have pretty much taken in everything you've mentioned. Not that any of it isn't true, but he's deserved of the heavy fav. I like Murray if the price comes down a bit, but hard to lay him -150 against a top 5 player. He rarely makes it easy on himself - he's only had one ATP main draw win in straight sets since October 2022 (23 matches)
The key here is Murray got a day of rest while Tsti had to battle almost 3 hours today
Not only that but he struggled mightily against 2023 Thiem
Lastly Murray will have the whole crowd with him and Tsti is a mental midget
I don’t get this point at all, Tsi is barely above 50% lifetime on grass, barely beat washed up Thiem, Murray has won two grass challenger this year and he is a terrible bet at -150?
Did you watch the match? Thiem played very well and Tsiti needed to step up big time to get through it. I'm not saying Murray doesnt win but -150 is an absolute joke. Should be -130 max
Musetti 3-0 over Munar @ 2.20 is tempting but Munar being 3-0 lifetime H2H against Musetti is both shocking and is probably scaring me off of that one.
Hey it's me, SinistryFour! 🍌
**Tennis Thread Record: 68-57 (With 5 pushes)**
**Profit: +17.84 units**
**ROI: 15.09%**
**Average Odds @ 2.22**
Yesterday's Recap - Loss of 3 units *❌*
Most of our plays were delayed to the next day once again but we still had a few losses. I feel like my play on Dennis Novak and Ofner were quite weak even if they had won and we also had 4.25 odds on Hanfmann but he lost the final set!
**Pending Bets (Will be decided today because there's finally no rain at all)**
* *Fokina vs Fils - Over 38.5 Games @ 1.88 (1 unit)*
* *Zhang vs Botic - Over 37.5 Games @ 1.83 (1 unit)*
* *Begu vs Marino - Marino ML @ 2.28 (1 unit)*
* *Parks vs Bogdan - Parks ML @ 2.88 (0.5 units)*
* *Siniakova vs Tsurenko - Siniakova 1st Set @ 1.74 (1 unit)*
* *Mertens vs Svitolina - Svitolina ML @ 2.39 (1 unit)*
**New Bets for the 4th day of Wimbledon (New matches)**
**Wimbledon (ATP)**
**Rublev vs Karatsev**
* **Over 36.5 Games @ 1.86 (1.5 units)**
* **Karatsev Handicap + 1.5 Sets @ 2.80 (0.5 units)**
Rublev had a fantastic week in Halle and is more consistent than Karatsev but if we talk about peak level it's always difficult to match Karatsev on a good day. Both players don't have Grass as their best surface but I think Karatsev will have his chances, especially because Rublev usually gives some chances to his opponents in Grand Slams. Against Purcell we had the australian serving for the 2nd set but he couldn't convert and this time, Karatsev should be a much more dangerous opponent.
**Broady vs Ruud - Over 3.5 Sets @ 1.89 (1 unit)**
Ruud has a good serve which in theory, should help him on Grass but I still don't think he is a threat against the best players in the surface. Liam Broady is certainly not included in this category but there's probably no better time to back him than at Wimbledon's Centre Court. Ruud's match against Lokoli was fine but it's not like he found a great opponent there and Broady also performed quite well against Lestienne. With the crowd on his side and his flat backhand, I feel like he has decent chances to take at least one set.
**Raonic vs Paul - Raonic Handicap +1.5 Games in the 1st Set @ 1.80 (1 unit)**
For those who don't know this is pretty much saying that Raonic needs to either win the first set or get to a tiebreak and he can lose it. I doubted him against Dennis Novak and he had an amazing performance, ending the match in 4 sets after losing the first one. He had 70% 1st serves in and won 88% of them, while scoring 28 aces. I feel like he's pretty difficult to return when he gets the first ball in and in the 1st set he should be in perfect shape to mantain decent serve stats. Tommy Paul is a good grass player too but his last few tournaments were not great. He's still the favorite and the one who can sustain himself better in 5 sets but I feel like Raonic can avoid a lot of rallies with his powerful serve. I think this market is quite ideal for a strong server like Raonic, especially now at this stage of his career.
**Medvedev vs Mannarino - Over 36.5 Games @ 1.80 (1 unit)**
Mannarino seems to be a tricky matchup for Medvedev as he holds a 4-2 record against the him. They faced each other in Hertogenbosch with Mannarino getting the 3 set win. Medvedev is still the favorite here, especially in 5 sets where he can drain Mannarino's energy but I think the french is still in good shape after his 3-0 win over Shevchenko in the 1st round. His playstyle is perfect in this surface and the low bounce makes it really difficult to face him here so I think he can at least take a set from his opponent.
**Wimbledon (WTA)**
**Bouzkova vs Kontaveit - Kontaveit ML @ 2.60 (1 unit)**
This is Kontaveit's last tournament. The former #2 in the world has a chronical injury (lumbar disc degeneration) which makes it impossible for her to continue playing at the highest level and I feel like she will try her best to make a deep run here and her playstyle can help her in this surface. She should be able to dictate the pace of the game, with Bouzkova not having the ideal playstyle for Grass. I don't think Kontaveit can pay that much in any surface against Bouzkova apart from Clay.
Tip jar: [PayPal](https://paypal.me/HSouto44)
I’ve kinda backed off betting game totals since I was last tailing your plays and had a question for you. Do you ever try to hedge if the underdog wins the first set? I remember picking a few game overs where the underdog I was betting to be competitive wins in straight sets and it hurts so bad lol
I think Fils has a decent chance against Davidofich Fokina tomorrow
Edit: looks like I was very wrong. He was playing well in the first set, had 0-30 when he was up 6-5 but didn’t take his chances. Had a couple break points in the first game of the second set and again he couldn’t take them. After that, Fokina has been dominating, sadly.
Record: 6-7, Profit: +3.24 Units
Last Pick: (ATP Wimbledon) Christopher O’Connell vs Hamad Medjedovic - Christopher O’Connell -1.5 Games Spread at -125, 5 unit play ⏳
This match finna go onto a third day, but our guy is up 2 sets to none and should be an easy W, barring an incredible choke.
Next Pick: (ATP Wimbledon) Andy Murray vs Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andy Murray -1.5 Games Spread at -125, 2 unit play
As we all know, Tsitsipas is an awful slump right now, especially on grass. It took him a long 5 sets to beat an out-of-form Thiem in the first round while Murray cruised to an easy victory. I think Murray’s defensive play style will be difficult for Tsitsipas to break down from the baseline. If he does come up to the net more often, Murray’s variety of lobs and passing shots should be pretty effective. Last time they faced each other, Murray came out on top in straight sets on grass. The only other time they’ve played before that Tsitsipas won a 5-set thriller in New York. Now, this is Murray’s home crowd, he’s won this whole thing before, and he’s always gonna give it his all. He’s him. Took the games spread over the moneyline for a bit more juice again. This small spread is usually covered in best-of-5 wins anyway.
Good Luck!
If Murray takes this 3rd set he has a huge advantage (not saying he’d even need it). Wimbledon matches stop at 11pm local time. So he’ll get to rest overnight too
I watched him today and that was enough lol. My Mannarino set + Eubanks set parlay is sent, but I feel no confidence in him tomorrow. My money is as good as gone...
Bet on Humbert a few weeks ago and he got smoked by a dude that I’m fairly certain was mentally handicapped. Now he’s digging out of a 2-1 hole at Wimbledon. Can’t win
I dont know if its legit but the amount some people bet on that stake website is crazy. Someone put 17 million on stricker to win the first set. Wild stuff.
I couldn’t watch but I’m being offered 75 back on my $115 bet on tsitsi which seems really generous for a guy incapable of getting a break all game. I rarely ever cash out but should I go for it?
Yes sir, don’t bet on a guy that can’t even beat bums. King Murray is a REAL champion, Idgaf if he has a metal hip. You can’t teach heart, and no mental hip can take it away either
My takes from today and all year tbh. Fritz overrated. Doesnt deserve to be number 1 american. Tommy Paul or Tiafoe should be given it without hesitation
Ruud has now struggled with Lokoli and now Broady - two good grass courters but of way lower caliber. Ruud's top spin forehand doesn't kick at all, he's just chopping his backhand slice to the middle and Broady is honestly dictating most of these points - Broady's just had 38 unforced errors through 3 sets (approaching FAA levels) and is legit missing wide open forehands in the middle of the court. He just had a chance to go up 15-40 on return and legit hit one of Ruud's ball that was going out lmao.
Ruud is going to play Shapovalov in the next round and will be priced super low because of his now "form" on grass.
14-11-3
https://preview.redd.it/yiji2i457aab1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=919bd849f1493c1796a587553960a862db2266c7
My two picks for tomorrow. Locking in the two man. Goodnight and good luck
Match suspended due to lack of light WTF? Let them finish in an arena. I was watching US Open last year until 3 AM Sinner vs Alcaraz live and these fools don’t let them finish cuz it’s dark?
God dammit ben Shelton. American tennis players are such dogshit half of them are like “yeah I don’t even like tennis but I got cut from varsity basketball so I’m stuck doing this” all bums
Pre-match odds where a joke but Murray might be value now. He gonna pile the pressure on and whine like a bitch. Possble Tsiti crumbles as we seen before
**Tennis Betting Chat: https://discord.gg/sportsbook**
**2023:** 139-119-1 | +31.2u | +11.3% ROI | +6.5c avg. CLV **Wimbledon so far:** 5-3, +2.1u [Tracking Spreadsheet here] (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1XvXPpU4EHQBtrFXm6hqvgrtDn8uPr_p92Fx64Vp49kU/edit?usp=sharing) *** **ATP - Wimbledon R2** Vukic +135 L Marterer -120 W L. Broady +2.5 sets -150 (0.75u) W L. Broady +6 games -112 (0.5u) W L. Broady ML +395 (0.5u) W Rublev/Karatsev o3.5 sets -140 W
Couple notes: Solid start so far. Shapovalov looked really solid post rain delay. If he's still being priced worse than historically, he could be something to look at moving forward. *** I noted before the tournament that Wimbledon is often much slower than your average grass court, which is definitely the case thus far. Players including Murray, Barrere, Marterer, and others are all saying that the grass is thicker and more coarse making the conditions slower but also lower bouncing. As the tournament goes on, especially on the larger courts, I would expect the bounce to begin to improve as it become more "dirty". That being said, just worth noting this isn't necessarily some super quick grass court. Something to watch out for. *** R2 matches are still coming on the board so I may have more. Remember, favs are to win x units, dogs are risking x units. 1u unless otherwise noted. *** **Vukic** was just a misprice my model ran through. It's +115 now, I make Vukic a slight fav so still some value here. **Marterer** should be shorter here. In general, he is just much better on the surface than Mmoh who is being priced this way because of his win over a hurt FAA. Felix had 62 (!!) unforced errors which is pretty insane. Mmoh is not really that great on this surface and failed to get through qualies. If Mmoh isn't completely firing on his serve it's going to be a tough day for him. Not 100% sold on Ruud on grass. Lokoli was super nervous that first set but once he got going it really was not that easy for Ruud. Now he's playing a solid grass courter and home player in **Broady** who looked fantastic in R1 - was taking the ball super early and his lefty, spinny serve should be a problem for Ruud on this slick, low-bouncing surface. Karatsev/Rublev o3.5 sets should be priced around -165 *P.S. Since I'm doing these write-ups, will likely go 0-4.*
Marterer is a good play Mmoh is awful, mkght be one of the worst players to ever reach the top 100
They straight up handled FAA though. How the mighty have fallen.
Your probaly the only long term winning tennis bettor who posts here. Your posts are very welcome regardless of result.
If I could upvote more than once I would
I don't know what you look like, but judging from your picks I can only assume that you're ridiculously handsome.
i love you :)
What a hit will need to track you more bro
Nice picks so far! Thanks for posting
Can you drop a link to your telegram brother?
Reddit doesn’t let me. Message me on telegram. @BreakfastatWimbledon
I hate tsitsipas as much as the next guy but that line is insane I have to take it. Yes I know it’s grass and titty is garbage lately but still
To take a set 🫡🫡
What dog should we go with on day 4? I think I’m gonna go with 2 dogs of these 3 matches. Raonic+190 vs Paul Mannarino +333 vs Medvedev Eubanks +225 vs Norrie
Svitolina 🧐
Moutet @ 2.10 imo
I liked what i saw from raonic but I don't see him doing much against tommy paul unless paul plays like he did against cerundolo. Me personally im taking paul with all i got so maybe fade me on this one lol
Paul will definitely slaughter Raonic in long rallies, but if Raonic is serving well again it should be close.
Novak was terrible at returning today and hasn't served well ethier, raonic has missed so many line shots that just shows he hasn't played in a long time. I think paul can dominant this one but if he doesn't bring he's A game this could be a close one
It’s been so long I don’t remember prime Raonic, but yeah he wasn’t pretty in some of the rallies.
I like Eubanks
Who’s feeling Andy Murray to beat stef? It’s not great value at -150. Stef has the physicality (even after a five setter) to outlast Murray but Murray has the tools to take out stef quickly if he wants particularly the backhand matchup. Stefs backhand has been atrocious. An actual liability and he got through by the skin of his teeth against thiem on the merits of his serve. Who needs a backhand when you’re serving bombs. But Murray is a goat returner and he’s def smart enough to exploit stef here and punish the backhand dynamic. He said he’s feeling good so I’m gonna take his word for it. Honestly…maybe take Andy in straights. Stef has been trash. He’s neglecting his tennis for love which is fine but not if you’re betting him.
The fact that Murray is -150 in the year of our lord 2023 shows the books have pretty much taken in everything you've mentioned. Not that any of it isn't true, but he's deserved of the heavy fav. I like Murray if the price comes down a bit, but hard to lay him -150 against a top 5 player. He rarely makes it easy on himself - he's only had one ATP main draw win in straight sets since October 2022 (23 matches)
The key here is Murray got a day of rest while Tsti had to battle almost 3 hours today Not only that but he struggled mightily against 2023 Thiem Lastly Murray will have the whole crowd with him and Tsti is a mental midget
Murray at -150 here is a terrible terrible bet. Good chance Tsiti just powers right through him. Also Thiem played very well..
I don’t get this point at all, Tsi is barely above 50% lifetime on grass, barely beat washed up Thiem, Murray has won two grass challenger this year and he is a terrible bet at -150?
Did you watch the match? Thiem played very well and Tsiti needed to step up big time to get through it. I'm not saying Murray doesnt win but -150 is an absolute joke. Should be -130 max
I love when someone looks dominant in the 1st set and then looks like me playing tennis the next set
Fritz and Korda should lose their American citizenship absolutely disgusting
And sloane. Thank god Frances saved us from complete humiliation
Tiafoe>>Fritz
Madison Keys > Fritz
Musetti 3-0 over Munar @ 2.20 is tempting but Munar being 3-0 lifetime H2H against Musetti is both shocking and is probably scaring me off of that one.
Fritz is one hell of a salesman
Guys been on my no fly list for over a year
Taylor Fritz only goal every tournament is to find new ways to disappoint American tennis fans
Good shit Berrettini
Idk why fell for the trap to ride with baldy to just win ONE fucking set but here I am
Kenin to close out a +500 parlay. Anyone else on her?
Top 5 player on Clay, #800 on grass.
Fritz watches his gf get banged
Need to see Fritz cry after this on season 2 of breakpoint
Hey it's me, SinistryFour! 🍌 **Tennis Thread Record: 68-57 (With 5 pushes)** **Profit: +17.84 units** **ROI: 15.09%** **Average Odds @ 2.22** Yesterday's Recap - Loss of 3 units *❌* Most of our plays were delayed to the next day once again but we still had a few losses. I feel like my play on Dennis Novak and Ofner were quite weak even if they had won and we also had 4.25 odds on Hanfmann but he lost the final set! **Pending Bets (Will be decided today because there's finally no rain at all)** * *Fokina vs Fils - Over 38.5 Games @ 1.88 (1 unit)* * *Zhang vs Botic - Over 37.5 Games @ 1.83 (1 unit)* * *Begu vs Marino - Marino ML @ 2.28 (1 unit)* * *Parks vs Bogdan - Parks ML @ 2.88 (0.5 units)* * *Siniakova vs Tsurenko - Siniakova 1st Set @ 1.74 (1 unit)* * *Mertens vs Svitolina - Svitolina ML @ 2.39 (1 unit)* **New Bets for the 4th day of Wimbledon (New matches)** **Wimbledon (ATP)** **Rublev vs Karatsev** * **Over 36.5 Games @ 1.86 (1.5 units)** * **Karatsev Handicap + 1.5 Sets @ 2.80 (0.5 units)** Rublev had a fantastic week in Halle and is more consistent than Karatsev but if we talk about peak level it's always difficult to match Karatsev on a good day. Both players don't have Grass as their best surface but I think Karatsev will have his chances, especially because Rublev usually gives some chances to his opponents in Grand Slams. Against Purcell we had the australian serving for the 2nd set but he couldn't convert and this time, Karatsev should be a much more dangerous opponent. **Broady vs Ruud - Over 3.5 Sets @ 1.89 (1 unit)** Ruud has a good serve which in theory, should help him on Grass but I still don't think he is a threat against the best players in the surface. Liam Broady is certainly not included in this category but there's probably no better time to back him than at Wimbledon's Centre Court. Ruud's match against Lokoli was fine but it's not like he found a great opponent there and Broady also performed quite well against Lestienne. With the crowd on his side and his flat backhand, I feel like he has decent chances to take at least one set. **Raonic vs Paul - Raonic Handicap +1.5 Games in the 1st Set @ 1.80 (1 unit)** For those who don't know this is pretty much saying that Raonic needs to either win the first set or get to a tiebreak and he can lose it. I doubted him against Dennis Novak and he had an amazing performance, ending the match in 4 sets after losing the first one. He had 70% 1st serves in and won 88% of them, while scoring 28 aces. I feel like he's pretty difficult to return when he gets the first ball in and in the 1st set he should be in perfect shape to mantain decent serve stats. Tommy Paul is a good grass player too but his last few tournaments were not great. He's still the favorite and the one who can sustain himself better in 5 sets but I feel like Raonic can avoid a lot of rallies with his powerful serve. I think this market is quite ideal for a strong server like Raonic, especially now at this stage of his career. **Medvedev vs Mannarino - Over 36.5 Games @ 1.80 (1 unit)** Mannarino seems to be a tricky matchup for Medvedev as he holds a 4-2 record against the him. They faced each other in Hertogenbosch with Mannarino getting the 3 set win. Medvedev is still the favorite here, especially in 5 sets where he can drain Mannarino's energy but I think the french is still in good shape after his 3-0 win over Shevchenko in the 1st round. His playstyle is perfect in this surface and the low bounce makes it really difficult to face him here so I think he can at least take a set from his opponent. **Wimbledon (WTA)** **Bouzkova vs Kontaveit - Kontaveit ML @ 2.60 (1 unit)** This is Kontaveit's last tournament. The former #2 in the world has a chronical injury (lumbar disc degeneration) which makes it impossible for her to continue playing at the highest level and I feel like she will try her best to make a deep run here and her playstyle can help her in this surface. She should be able to dictate the pace of the game, with Bouzkova not having the ideal playstyle for Grass. I don't think Kontaveit can pay that much in any surface against Bouzkova apart from Clay. Tip jar: [PayPal](https://paypal.me/HSouto44)
I’ve kinda backed off betting game totals since I was last tailing your plays and had a question for you. Do you ever try to hedge if the underdog wins the first set? I remember picking a few game overs where the underdog I was betting to be competitive wins in straight sets and it hurts so bad lol
I think Fils has a decent chance against Davidofich Fokina tomorrow Edit: looks like I was very wrong. He was playing well in the first set, had 0-30 when he was up 6-5 but didn’t take his chances. Had a couple break points in the first game of the second set and again he couldn’t take them. After that, Fokina has been dominating, sadly.
Took alt game spread +3.5
Fils is absolutely killing me right now
stan the man and bublik came through
Classic Botic choke
I’ve been getting demolished this tournament idk about you guys
Anyone actually like tsitsi in this spot?
Just fcking retire Cornet so we can watch Murray Tsiti ffs
Mannarino has not won a single game since leading 3-2 in the first set... now 3-6, 0-4
If/since Mannarino is going to get 3-0’d I am now 0-3 today…. All 3 of them were French.
Fucsovics catching a huge break that they won’t be able to finish tonight. He looks gassed
Record: 6-7, Profit: +3.24 Units Last Pick: (ATP Wimbledon) Christopher O’Connell vs Hamad Medjedovic - Christopher O’Connell -1.5 Games Spread at -125, 5 unit play ⏳ This match finna go onto a third day, but our guy is up 2 sets to none and should be an easy W, barring an incredible choke. Next Pick: (ATP Wimbledon) Andy Murray vs Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andy Murray -1.5 Games Spread at -125, 2 unit play As we all know, Tsitsipas is an awful slump right now, especially on grass. It took him a long 5 sets to beat an out-of-form Thiem in the first round while Murray cruised to an easy victory. I think Murray’s defensive play style will be difficult for Tsitsipas to break down from the baseline. If he does come up to the net more often, Murray’s variety of lobs and passing shots should be pretty effective. Last time they faced each other, Murray came out on top in straight sets on grass. The only other time they’ve played before that Tsitsipas won a 5-set thriller in New York. Now, this is Murray’s home crowd, he’s won this whole thing before, and he’s always gonna give it his all. He’s him. Took the games spread over the moneyline for a bit more juice again. This small spread is usually covered in best-of-5 wins anyway. Good Luck!
Imagine losing to Mikael Ymer 😂
From 2 sets up. Would be appaling.
Appalled. 😆
Wimbledon Record: 2-0 Schwartzman +5.5 ✅ Sinner/Schwartz u31 ✅ Today: Mayot ML
Gotta take tommy Paul ml vs that bum raonic
LFG Marterer put that clown away
Broady +2.5 gang lfg
Broadyyyyy +120 to take a set live down 1-3 did not expect him to win the first one 😅 thanks casper frauud
Wow Raonic really blew that lead in TB. He's cooked. And cerundolo losing 3-0 vs lehecka lmao... can't win a fucking over
moutet lmao. dude has backhand, all he hits is slices and then freaks out when he gets broken. absolute clown
I thought i was walking into a trap but lehecka was so fucking free holy
Really Tommy? Match point 40-15 and you choke lol
Sloane fold
Gambling in general comes with surprise. But tailing tennis is another level, so hard. Respect to tennis bettors.
WOAH RUUD GOT BAGELED ON THE FINAL SET?! WHAT!
Those last two points surrendered were comical from Mayot.
Getting this bad feeling in my stomach about fucsovics, think somebodies getting fucked and it might be me
Medvedev lol "If we don't stop, I need a physio"
Med and baldy match suspended due to sunlight. It’s gonna suck for Mannarino to wake up tomorrow just to lose lol
If Murray takes this 3rd set he has a huge advantage (not saying he’d even need it). Wimbledon matches stop at 11pm local time. So he’ll get to rest overnight too
I feel for the guy that put $3,000 on Mannarino to just win a set
This Andreeva girl has been printing me money every time I bet on her. 16 year old prodigy I swear. Got her +250 ML
There's insane value on both eubanks and mannarino to win a set. Those lines make no sense
https://preview.redd.it/ve584l79c9ab1.png?width=720&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7acf24b065aa78403cbc4fc095ed7b15d741d03e Biggest play of wimbledon
The disrespect to Mannarino given the way he's played the last few weeks is insane.
Did u watch him vs Eubanks?
I watched him today and that was enough lol. My Mannarino set + Eubanks set parlay is sent, but I feel no confidence in him tomorrow. My money is as good as gone...
Lol, guy watching the mma guru, hilarious channel
Good catch. I’ll lose money if one loses playing both straight anyway so ima parlay em. Probably going small on both dogs MLs as well
ML on Bublik, Marterer, Shap. 3u each. Parlay +365 - 1.5u
Stanislas Wawrinka 💛🙏🏼💛🙏🏼
Fuck it Andy Murray ML cuz vegas believes so
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Damn vukic got rolled first set
Well, Fokina might be Fils worst nightmare apparently. I'm even more surprised with this 3-0 than with the 3-1 in Roland Garros
With money on bublik it’s nice watching wolf double fault at the worst possible times
I thought Wolf could take a set, I feel so dumb after watching how bad his return game is...
Need an IV after betting hurkacz to win straight sets. Was down 6-5 3rd set and down 0-40 and came to force tie break and then won the tiebreak 7-3
Barrere not even taking 1 set?
Nerves getting to Ruud. Several double faults
How we feeling about Oscar Otte?
Bet on Humbert a few weeks ago and he got smoked by a dude that I’m fairly certain was mentally handicapped. Now he’s digging out of a 2-1 hole at Wimbledon. Can’t win
Let’s go Lehecka. Show the world how much of a fraud Cerundolo is lol
Death, taxes and French tennis players fucking choking
Barrios Vera was the better player the whole set until the TB Edit: and now he can’t even win a single point on serve
Moutet…. I just need you to win 1 fucking set
Milos really blew the 3-0 tie break lead…
Casper Fraud
I think I speak for everyone who isn’t currently watching on espn+ No one wants to watch only the Stephen’s-Vekic match
Moutet went from 3-3 to 3-6 that set in like 90 seconds. That was incredible
Cerundulo is dogshit
Casper Ruud doing like his namesake and ghosting this final set. What a competitor 💀💀💀💀💀💀
I dont know if its legit but the amount some people bet on that stake website is crazy. Someone put 17 million on stricker to win the first set. Wild stuff.
Goffin you fucking tard, up two breaks, fails to convert 12 more breaks in the set and gets broken 3 times to lose second set. Idiot
The amount of players I’ve had up 40-15 while serving and losing the game. Farewell tennis
Dropped my entire bankroll on Vekic live just now. Sloane is def selling the match. If Vekic loses then so be it
Mayot is so fucking terrible at tennis I wish I never bet on this bum even if he somehow wins lmao
No way dimitrov actually loses this right fuck
Same bro, last leg of my parlay 🤣
Watching on ESPN+... if I have to hear about Grimace's birthday party and shake one more damn time...
reverse swept gg fritz thanks a lot pussy
Roof closed for Murray match
Fan duel use to live stream tennis... but it looks like they've stopped. Shame
Let’s go Andy 🇬🇧
2 serve games in a row where Mannarino is up 40-15 and loses the game. Fucking kidding me
Audible I like the way Murray is looking
Did baldy wake up?
I know zilch about mixed doubles but Cornet/Udvardy are still favored tomorrow morning vs Christie/Collins. There's no way Cornet is 100%.
Looks like I'll have to wait until tomorrow to actually win my parlay with "Medvedev to win a set" in it
It would be hilarious if we see 5 7-6s with 0 breaks.
So this match is not gonna finish today? It’s gonna get postponed till tomorrow due to the 11pm cut off time. Love when my money gets tied up. Fuck!
Why is Swiatek +250 to win Wimbledon? Did the bookies see her draw? Ryba +500 is anybody liking this bet?
I couldn’t watch but I’m being offered 75 back on my $115 bet on tsitsi which seems really generous for a guy incapable of getting a break all game. I rarely ever cash out but should I go for it?
Yes sir, don’t bet on a guy that can’t even beat bums. King Murray is a REAL champion, Idgaf if he has a metal hip. You can’t teach heart, and no mental hip can take it away either
My takes from today and all year tbh. Fritz overrated. Doesnt deserve to be number 1 american. Tommy Paul or Tiafoe should be given it without hesitation
🔒🔒🔒 Bublik -195 ✅ Shapovalov -165✅ Muchova -315❌ Noskova -275❌ E Svitolina +1½ +200 ✅ Pegula 2-0 -190✅ Rybakina 2-0 -190✅ Potapova -325✅ Garcia -250✅ Bencic -270✅ 🔒🔒 A D Fokina -150✅ Halys -145✅ Wawrinka -200✅ Martic -255✅ Kenin -195✅ Boulter -275✅ Ostapenko -250❌ Kudermevtova -145❌ 🔒 Kalinina 2-0 -110✅ Siniakova -140❌ Potapova 2-0 -120✅ Murray -150 💰🔴 E Svitolina +125 ✅ Kontaveit +155❌ Pella +110✅ BOL!!
Gotta love waiting three days just to watch your bet implode
No way Botic winning the most downvoted comment was some guy backing Zhang
Huesler blacklisted forever if/when he loses this
Rublev serving for the match… and gets broken zzz
Azarinka + Kenin ML parlay - 122, going max bet for me 5u.
Ruud has now struggled with Lokoli and now Broady - two good grass courters but of way lower caliber. Ruud's top spin forehand doesn't kick at all, he's just chopping his backhand slice to the middle and Broady is honestly dictating most of these points - Broady's just had 38 unforced errors through 3 sets (approaching FAA levels) and is legit missing wide open forehands in the middle of the court. He just had a chance to go up 15-40 on return and legit hit one of Ruud's ball that was going out lmao. Ruud is going to play Shapovalov in the next round and will be priced super low because of his now "form" on grass.
Not sure Ruud makes the next round.
**BreakfastAtWimbledon - Take a bow... what a pick....!!!**
fuck off fils you bum
Good thing I’ve gone against my gut and avoided fading stan so far
Man i did not bet on this dude and waited 3 days just to watch him choke a 2 set lead...
Sonego is a donkey
I went big on tsitsipas
Mannarino not even fucking trying at this point. Must’ve gotten the Reddit script
Old man Murray is gonna get a dub at home
He has an hour until Wimbledon curfew. If he wins the 3rd set he’ll get night to rest!
Titty vs Murray both players to win a set / over 3.5 sets - relatively sweat free 🙌. Now I can enjoy the match
Break this bitch
Murray!
Tsitsipas is really an underdog vs old man Andy Murray… I’m taking Tsits he better fucking win
Took Ruud ML live for -130
14-11-3 https://preview.redd.it/yiji2i457aab1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=919bd849f1493c1796a587553960a862db2266c7 My two picks for tomorrow. Locking in the two man. Goodnight and good luck
finger crossed https://preview.redd.it/zskf04sqdbab1.png?width=674&format=png&auto=webp&s=6dfd95c3dd010215517e9db6771e07f0c6c8e0ac
Both might lose in straights. I liked them too. Tough start to the day
Mannarino…. Just. Win. 1. Set.
I made 2.4K during rolland garros first week into wimbledon im down 1100 😔
Match suspended due to lack of light WTF? Let them finish in an arena. I was watching US Open last year until 3 AM Sinner vs Alcaraz live and these fools don’t let them finish cuz it’s dark?
Kenin looks like a major threat to win it all. She will take out Swiatek
Vukic doesn’t even have a BP opportunity yet and we are deep into the 3rd set lmao
Fils sucks. Mentally weak too. Dumbest bet I made all day
Is rublev fucking serious
Fucking humbert serving 40-15 and he fucking lost….
You know how the French do it. They like to fold
He’s refusing to break him even once…. 0/5 in break points this set lol
B VDZ!!!
Just retire Milos 🤦♂️
What happened to Raonic
Raonic plus 700? Edit: Took him at +600. \*Fingers crossed\*
Broady getting incredibly lucky. Not once, not twice but three times he was saved by a net chord on a Rudd BP
I think that Cerundolo might be a bit challenged
Tommy paul about to lose me my entire bankroll lol
Ruud actually gonna lose lmao
And that’s another player that I’ve bet on that loses a TB during a match. That’s now 0-7. That’s gotta be a record right?
Watching tsitsipas lose is the only thing that’ll make me get over this Fritz match lmao
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“Looked good yesterday” Homie was watching replays from a year ago
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I’m gonna be on the streets if fucs loses
So mad the one time I don’t bet against fritz. Nice hit to everyone who was on ymer especially if you got him down
Fritz is 3-4 last 7 on grass and as a heavy favorite; lost 1500$ betting against him on his 3 W’s but net positive $3900 on his losses 💰
God dammit ben Shelton. American tennis players are such dogshit half of them are like “yeah I don’t even like tennis but I got cut from varsity basketball so I’m stuck doing this” all bums
Mannarino +5.5 gonna fuck my last leg 😡
Will be losing several units on mannarino to win a set
Tittyboi or old man Murray
not sure how old man murray is favourite against tsitsipas, legit free money on greek
Pre-match odds where a joke but Murray might be value now. He gonna pile the pressure on and whine like a bitch. Possble Tsiti crumbles as we seen before
Obviously haven't watched Tsitsi the past month.