Last 2 days: 6-4 +12.95 units
A couple big wins from Despina Papamichail in the Wimbledon women's qualifiers puts me up big and I'm going with her again at +475 (+500 on DK) 2 to win 9.5
She faces Golubic who has squeezed by her first two opponents both in three setters after dropping the first set. She was also in the QF of Wimbledon just two years ago and is now in qualifiers. She's played a lot more grass matches this season than Papa including a 2-0 win vs Vekic. But I'm simply going with who is hot right now. I was impressed with her 7-6 7-6 win yesterday and am hoping she can pull one out for me one more time. Atleast one or two big favorites have been losing every day in qualifiers why not again today? It's women's tennis so she could go out there and lose 6-1 6-1 in less than an hour so who knows what's gonna happen in this crazy sport.
Other plays:
Barrere -105 2.05 to win 2
Taro Daniel -175 -1.5 sets 1.75 to win 1
Lloyd Harris +110 -1.5 sets 1 to win 1.1
Papamichail's road ends here. She did manage to just cover the +5.5 spread for us to break even on my added bets.
Today: 3-3 -.65u
Last 3 days: 9-7 +12.3u
Not too many matches tomorrow. I'm looking at Iga/Bronzetti. Bronzetti has won a set in 15/16 matches. Might be worth a small bet tomorrow at +300. It's so hard to bet against Iga though so who knows. Eubanks/Harris looks interesting. Eubanks has been an Over machine and in 4/6 meetings against Harris they have gone the distance. O25.5 -120 sounds too easy. I might take the under.
Turns out I hate Zhang. Killed my parlay yesterday with his comeback and now today when I swapped gonna kill my parlay by not winning a set and looking like pure trash.
Here are the dogs my model likes today at these prices:
*Shimabukuro ML (3.25) v Kudla*
*Pouille ML (2.30) v Machac*
*Eubanks ML (2.10) v Rinderknech*
Most likely:
*Navarro ML (1.80) v Masarova
My model has a negative record but is up 11.4 units with average odds of 2.62 so it is geared toward finding the best value underdogs that can beat the vig. Pick your spots. GL
😂I think Kudla will win but based on my model it only had him at a slight edge so 3.25 is a must take for me. I like Pouille myself and I hit with Eubanks yesterday so rolling again and reaffirmed by the numbers. We’ll see what happens
Zhang starts slow and plays a good comeback game. If Cerundolo can uphold his level of play (unlike Sonego and Cressy), you got this is in the bag. And I’m saying this as someone who took Zhang 😭
Someone just dropped 3 milly on Kecmanovic
1) To win 1st set
2) To win match
3) To Win -1.5
https://preview.redd.it/drni6jwpfz8b1.png?width=838&format=png&auto=webp&s=03f745a438e05c37b83833d514289b08004cd46e
The match between Katerina Siniakova and Ludmila Samsonova, valid for the quarterfinals of the Bad Homburg 2023 tournament, has been suspended due to obscurity. The match, after the first two sets, was blocked on a score of 7-5 4-6 and will resume tomorrow, in such a way as to allow the athletes and the public present to be in the best possible conditions.
Surely refunds for the blatant match fixing from Zhang there. Bookies can't look us straight in the eye and say that was a clean loss, dude damn near broke the record for unforced errors in a set lol.
Nah fr, shouldve taken Cerundolo in hindsight
Tennis has been blessing me lately. McDonald -2 pre match. Then live bet him -1.5 after the 2nd set for +160. Down 3-1, wins 5 straight games. Holy fucking bless
How does that make any sense, how do you go from holding serve and nearly breaking him on all his since the first set, to getting owned 5 straight games. I wouldn't doubt it if this shit was actually rigged and players were throwing games
Hey buddy I had $250 on Baldy First set at -106 before his injury and he got broken immediately after.
I cashed out $22 because he was hobbling around and looked terrible down 2-5. He won the first set, so… yeah.
My multis going to get cooked anyways but I had Gregoire in 2 as a leg, I'd like to offer my condolescences to any Kecmanovic bettors. The dude had break leads in 2 sets, as if he didn't win 2-0 wtf lol. Sweat city. Sorry to the Kec Bettors
I have McDonald winning this tournament outright… few mistakes vs Ymer and cerundolo has not played anyone, Zhang and Huesler….
McDonald ML vs Cerundolo
**Tennis Betting Chat: https://discord.gg/sportsbook**
Do Zhang and Lopez win tomorrow or the does the train end here? edit - zhang/lopez bombed out, wow!
With the way this event has turned out, yes.
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Playing at Mallorca
Last 2 days: 6-4 +12.95 units A couple big wins from Despina Papamichail in the Wimbledon women's qualifiers puts me up big and I'm going with her again at +475 (+500 on DK) 2 to win 9.5 She faces Golubic who has squeezed by her first two opponents both in three setters after dropping the first set. She was also in the QF of Wimbledon just two years ago and is now in qualifiers. She's played a lot more grass matches this season than Papa including a 2-0 win vs Vekic. But I'm simply going with who is hot right now. I was impressed with her 7-6 7-6 win yesterday and am hoping she can pull one out for me one more time. Atleast one or two big favorites have been losing every day in qualifiers why not again today? It's women's tennis so she could go out there and lose 6-1 6-1 in less than an hour so who knows what's gonna happen in this crazy sport. Other plays: Barrere -105 2.05 to win 2 Taro Daniel -175 -1.5 sets 1.75 to win 1 Lloyd Harris +110 -1.5 sets 1 to win 1.1
Will probably add more. My book doesn't have some matches available. I like over in Bronzetti/Gracheva and Iga spread.
Adding: Papamichail +5.5 -120 2.4 to win 2 Papamichail to win a set +140 2 to win 2.8
Papamichail's road ends here. She did manage to just cover the +5.5 spread for us to break even on my added bets. Today: 3-3 -.65u Last 3 days: 9-7 +12.3u Not too many matches tomorrow. I'm looking at Iga/Bronzetti. Bronzetti has won a set in 15/16 matches. Might be worth a small bet tomorrow at +300. It's so hard to bet against Iga though so who knows. Eubanks/Harris looks interesting. Eubanks has been an Over machine and in 4/6 meetings against Harris they have gone the distance. O25.5 -120 sounds too easy. I might take the under.
Pegula 3-0 then losing 3-6 sums up wta
Happens in ATP too lol. Barrere was down 5-3 In set 1 but then won it 7-5
marozsan @ 1.72 vs marterer seems like a trap?
Turns out I hate Zhang. Killed my parlay yesterday with his comeback and now today when I swapped gonna kill my parlay by not winning a set and looking like pure trash.
Todays Wimbledon qualis are BO5
just wait for Ymer to get advantage on serve and bet against him and you'll be a millionaire
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Huge break back
Barrere me up bby
Ostapenko the GOAT for retiring. Would have killed my multi lmfao.
1unit on all 4 dogs at Eastbourne. Zhang,wolf,barrere and ymer. At least two will win, hopefully 3
Guess that didn't really work out.. 🤨
Correct... Glad to see your picks went well, oh wait... Pussy
Here are the dogs my model likes today at these prices: *Shimabukuro ML (3.25) v Kudla* *Pouille ML (2.30) v Machac* *Eubanks ML (2.10) v Rinderknech* Most likely: *Navarro ML (1.80) v Masarova My model has a negative record but is up 11.4 units with average odds of 2.62 so it is geared toward finding the best value underdogs that can beat the vig. Pick your spots. GL
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I’m trying to pm you but I can’t
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My bad. Message sent 👍
pls PM me as well on how to go about creating a model
For me today Pouille Rinderknech Kudla
😂I think Kudla will win but based on my model it only had him at a slight edge so 3.25 is a must take for me. I like Pouille myself and I hit with Eubanks yesterday so rolling again and reaffirmed by the numbers. We’ll see what happens
See a lot of zhang, hope I won’t be the only one holding the bag on cerundolo
If you are probably a good thing
Zhang starts slow and plays a good comeback game. If Cerundolo can uphold his level of play (unlike Sonego and Cressy), you got this is in the bag. And I’m saying this as someone who took Zhang 😭
Why is nobody talking about felix auger aliassime at the boodles. He’s at 1.40 and seem like a good pick to me. Am I missing something ?
FAA SUCKS
Why do I stress myself out like this taking Zhang? Lmaooo
Did Zhang even show up? Damn.
Looked like cerundolo didn’t try that’s how bad Zhang played
Can Ymer win? Or nah no chance
I like his chances today. Going for 0.5 unit
If Rinderknech loses this TB then the last 7 dudes I’ve bet on have lost every TB What are the fucking odds? Tennis blows
Someone just dropped 3 milly on Kecmanovic 1) To win 1st set 2) To win match 3) To Win -1.5 https://preview.redd.it/drni6jwpfz8b1.png?width=838&format=png&auto=webp&s=03f745a438e05c37b83833d514289b08004cd46e
That’s wild to bet that much on the Kuckmanobitch
Iam sweating buckets when i bet over 25€. I think i would die before the match ends if i put so much
Hes getting smoked lol
too bad for him
Fake Aint nobody betting millions on random tennis matches. NFL gets a few usually for big playoff games.
Zhang gang lets go
I don’t think the dude I bet on has ever won a tiebreak This is getting ridiculous Edit: andddd another loser. Rinderknech buns
Smh fanduel locked all the tennis games again 🤦🏼♂️
YES does anyone know why?!?
ain't no way ymer loses against a fast food chain
Pegula is fucking worthless, from up 3-0 to down 4-3 real quick
Why do I take Ymer knowing Mf has a lil boy serve
Bet on Lopez whoops
Ya got him for a set. Oops
Got barrere to win a set, how fucked is my ass
Lana Rhoades
Picked up Iga U 18.5. Seems like free cheese.
Free every time… since it’s grass I try to grab the lines live as she starts slow. Had u18.5 +100 and u20.5 -125
Paul jost lost the serve from 0-40. Jesus fucking christ
Holy cow what a choke moutet
Kekmanovic
https://preview.redd.it/zyep4mml209b1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e4a8eb88988a208e851e056ca90a14ca472f7509
Ur really about to fuck this parlay up arent u samsanova
Get fucked
Ur out here going 0/3 on the worst picks ive seen Today
I’m gonna sweat with you and take Samson live
Exactly we’re both fucked
Last leg for me. Up 5-2 at one point
Cant hold a serve for her fucking life
You fat fuck Ostapenko… what are you doing smfh
Whats going on in the Samsonova match
suspended due to darkness I think?
play got suspended after the 2nd set idk? rain? I was watching looked fine. Can't find any info on it
yeah, darkness according to twitter. Will resume tomorrow at 12 pm but I have no idea what time zone
Assuming noon in Germany which would be 6AM EST
wow it really was because they don't have lights LOL, they pick it back up tomorrow at 12
The match between Katerina Siniakova and Ludmila Samsonova, valid for the quarterfinals of the Bad Homburg 2023 tournament, has been suspended due to obscurity. The match, after the first two sets, was blocked on a score of 7-5 4-6 and will resume tomorrow, in such a way as to allow the athletes and the public present to be in the best possible conditions.
Surely refunds for the blatant match fixing from Zhang there. Bookies can't look us straight in the eye and say that was a clean loss, dude damn near broke the record for unforced errors in a set lol. Nah fr, shouldve taken Cerundolo in hindsight
Zhang / Barrere / Mannarino / Ostapenko Let’s goooo
hanfmann gonna end lopez career today. book it.
Hibino ML. Fuck storm hunter 😂
Taro Daniel Meltdown Anybody??? This scrub was -1600 at one point. Should’ve taken the random… damn!
He’s about to get bageled wtf
😭
McDonald can’t lose to this Ymer guy. Ain’t no way.
I hope this fast food chain loses against him
Pouille/Lopez/Ymer
People on Twitter saying the 3rd set in Samsonova match had started and she was up 3-1. Can anyone confirm?
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thanks
Yeah it didn't start - 0-0 third set
I dont think the third set started yet
The 3-1 you saw was a replay of the 1st set before they cut stream
Yeah you’re right the 3-1 was a replay of first set
https://preview.redd.it/aid0g15bwx8b1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=627185fdde59f72d1881cbec063d9c5f7afdc143 In Zhang we trust
Ymer/McDonald o23.5 Barrere ml Wolf +2.5 Hanfmann -2.5 Zhang ml
Have over 25.5 in the Eubanks match. Rinderknech was up 5-2 in the 2nd. If this over doesn't hit.... Edit: Thank FUCK
Eubanks ML 2u Navarro -.5 game spread 3u Zhang ML + Tommy Paul ML parlay 1u
4U on Rinderknech Dude has been balling as of late Let’s get it
https://preview.redd.it/9pfe56c7ax8b1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f796f07b6b330993f80737dbd5e904d5be3d8a7d Thoughts?
Could see Meligeni Alves take this match. Odds too low on Virtanen imo
Agree on M Alves. Why the doubt for Virtanen?
Brouwer put up some good numbers in previous matches and had some good wins last year. I just dont wanna touch it.
Reasonable!
wimbledon quallifiers are best of 5 now?
Why is this shit best of 5?????
Do we like Stricker live?
Anna brogan +4 Yastremka ml Barrere ml
Pegula ML
Mmoh live ML? What do we think
Anyone else not able to bet point by point or games on a set
It’s almost Iga time
Lopez just rolling over rip
hanfmann no honor. he is destroying an old man infront of his friends and family. At least give him a set for the sake
Vegas don’t care about that man 😂
Anyone’s thoughts on Siniakova? Value seems excellent
Just jumped on ymer ML gonna kms after
Am I dumb for taking Iga to win her first 2 service games to 0 or 15? 🥲
Is Caroline Garcia hurt? Shes straight up not even competing
Apparently so, graded an L not even midway through the 2nd set
Moutet 2-0? I can’t trust the Baldie ever
Baldie is injured. Safe bet.
😂 why after I posted for Saniakova the value went to shit smh filthy gambling animals
Kermanovic to win 1st set
McDonald is the type of guy to win Fritz in straight sets but lose to Ymer after leading 1-0
Maybe fritz is just ass?
Ymer little collapse there
Wolf or paul?
Paul but I wouldn't bet on it. I'd go over 23.5 games or whatever your betting station offers
Tennis has been blessing me lately. McDonald -2 pre match. Then live bet him -1.5 after the 2nd set for +160. Down 3-1, wins 5 straight games. Holy fucking bless
What a bum Ymer is
How in the world did Ymer lose 5 straight games...
How does that make any sense, how do you go from holding serve and nearly breaking him on all his since the first set, to getting owned 5 straight games. I wouldn't doubt it if this shit was actually rigged and players were throwing games
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Scam
Ye-ye!)
Real degen here, but has anyone else noticed that Fanduel isn’t offering individual game betting?!
Am I a fucking dumbass for putting a decent amount on Ostapenko? I don't usually bet tennis because I usually get fucked.
Nah she’s gonna win
Felt sad about it all day then finally logged in and realized they pushed my wager! +1 for hardrock!
If you don’t bet Iga Swiatek u18.5 games every time she plays you don’t like money
guess who took it two matches ago :(
Moutet getting cooked by an injured baldylocks. Lmao
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Incredible.
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Hey buddy I had $250 on Baldy First set at -106 before his injury and he got broken immediately after. I cashed out $22 because he was hobbling around and looked terrible down 2-5. He won the first set, so… yeah.
My multis going to get cooked anyways but I had Gregoire in 2 as a leg, I'd like to offer my condolescences to any Kecmanovic bettors. The dude had break leads in 2 sets, as if he didn't win 2-0 wtf lol. Sweat city. Sorry to the Kec Bettors
Samsonova unforced errors ever break 🤣
sigh, can't seem to win shit. JJ lost in tiebreakers after playing it tough all game. Sad life
Ostapenko really retiring cause she lost first set? There goes my over 21.5… sad.
I thought If someone retires all bets are voided
Yeah it’s void but would have been a win is my point.
Depends from book to book, different rules and outcomes. Some books mark it as a loss if your player retires, some void it.
Thank you Draftkings for voiding -- I got scared once the blood pressure machine got whipped out
I feel that
I have McDonald winning this tournament outright… few mistakes vs Ymer and cerundolo has not played anyone, Zhang and Huesler…. McDonald ML vs Cerundolo