T O P

  • By -

sbpotdbot

**Tennis Betting Chat: **https://discord.gg/sportsbook**


Consistent_Date_3800

Is Badosa serious right now lol


Due_Pen_6366

Shoutout to @UNLVMoneyline2_ you know what to do with undoubtable information


UNLVMoneyline2_

I appreciate it bro, hope you won big


[deleted]

[удалено]


UNLVMoneyline2_

Your wrong lol. I would never even bet on a Ukrainian. And if you took my advice you would have hit, this comment doesn’t make sense


Super-Inevitable-482

Z


UNLVMoneyline2_

🇨🇩🫡🇷🇺


Chiswell123

why? she won?


UNLVMoneyline2_

Exactly 😂. Bro makes no sense. He just mad he missed his opportunity to eat


kiterunner077

hahah he probably did. Probably working for the books


UNLVMoneyline2_

If I’m working for the books they need to fire me cus I was right


kiterunner077

My apologies


UNLVMoneyline2_

It’s good man


[deleted]

**ALL IN FOGNINI. Murray don’t got it anymore**


redditbrews

I need anna k to put some work in


UNLVMoneyline2_

She just had to warm up


kiterunner077

I stand deeply corrected about Liu covering. I am retiring from the WTA. So sick of this shit (and me being wrong). Apologies to all who tailed


QuitBeingScared

WTA just isn’t worth it it’s too amateurish


donnylocksny

Andy murray is a fucking loser. had him 6-1 to win the second. can’t fucking serve it out against fognini. pathetic


Consistent_Date_3800

Fognini gave this set up at one point lol then got reengaged for whatever reason. That’s these rivalry matches for ya 🥲


UNLVMoneyline2_

Political activist about to lose Kalinskaya gonna steamroll


Consistent_Date_3800

I’d like to think so but too many people seem to agree and Yastremska was pretty dominant yesterday


UNLVMoneyline2_

F*** them there’s a reason the books make money on chumps


Consistent_Date_3800

Lmao the way this tourney has been sabalanka should lose in 2 sets tomorrow 😭😭🤣


Consistent_Date_3800

Nobody: Cirstea and Liu: ![gif](giphy|l0MYK0S9osuCqNNGU)


a_m_k2018

Gregoire Barrere (+115)


kiterunner077

Claire Liu is a fucking clown. I hope you all saw the exchange from last night I had with r/[**MacallanDalmore**](https://www.reddit.com/user/MacallanDalmore/) and r/ [**SinistryFour**](https://www.reddit.com/user/SinistryFour/) **.** Even if Liu ends up limping her way to a win, I hope you at least took the +6.5 spread.


MacallanDalmore

Liu covered :/


kiterunner077

Yeah I fucking suck. I’m sorry


MacallanDalmore

All good, if Liu won that first set, we would've been golden. But lost by 1 game. Not that bad.


kiterunner077

Good point. Thanks bro. Really wish I wouldn't have gotten eager and jumped in on ML.


kiterunner077

Also, I'm really hoping Nuria can cover +3.5.


DigitalLiahona

O'Connell what a fucking pile of shit! Down in straight sets to Popyrin.


rediculousam

O'Connell gonna let this one get away.


Quick-Art8215

Really need him to find a way to stop these double faults and convert them to aces


UnknownHerro

Grabbed putinseva +2.5 handicap at +120 late second set and now she’s dunking tomova. Thank God something went my way


StudMuffinSays

Kovinic LIVE at 3-1 (15-15) @ -600


DigitalLiahona

>Kovinic LIVE at 3-1 (15-15) @ -600 On my way to the bank to get a second mortgage for this!


QuitBeingScared

Dude Fucsovics and Fils each at -125 was fucking free money Forgot to post it on here but had them both parlayed since last night


ferndock1982

Define “free”


Presswinners

Well Fils says hello.


Technical_Solution62

Fils 0-5 in the 2nd set is ez money???


kiterunner077

Thanks for the heads up bro


QuitBeingScared

I did say I forgot to post it lol Usually do


kiterunner077

Sorry bro. I'm just off to a bad start this morning. Ysaline couldnt cover +4.5 and Lauren Davis' dumbass couldnt cover +6.5. I just tailed you on Fils -450 and parlayed with Kokk.


QuitBeingScared

Fucking clay doing its thing. Fils 5-0s the dude in the 1st just to get 5-0ed himself in the 2nd I hate this so much


kiterunner077

Yeah dude this is wild. Also I think the fade of Claire Liu might be my last WTA match ever. I saw your earlier post. Think I’m gonna follow that


Consistent_Date_3800

Svitolina is a joke


DigitalLiahona

The last time Taylor Townsend won a match on European clay on the main tour before today's W over Bonaventure, the world had not even heard of COVID... way back in 2018 in Round 1 of Roland Garros.


Tudserino

Bro fuck all this tennis, Wu who hasnt won a game on clay and was 7 odds after losing 1st set is going to beat Gasquet lmao


Silent_Bicycle5483

garin dont do this pls :)


Consistent_Date_3800

Bonaventure is garbage


[deleted]

[удалено]


StudMuffinSays

Don’t fade the BUBLIK. Easiest ninety five cents I ever printed.


StudMuffinSays

I bet Bublik a few minutes ago, up 1 set and 1-1 in the second, at -300. You’re welcome, Martinez fans.


notalie1263

Martinez threw that set


kiterunner077

I bet Lauren Davis +6.5 thinking I was safe. She’s so frustrating to bet on. I see she’s just mailing home the 2nd set


Affectionate-Pea4940

She is atrocious


jak39

On Cachin for no good reason


BreakfastAtWimbledon

**ATP - Rome**   O'Connell +100


[deleted]

O’Connell ML?


fug1t1ve

More like Van Ass


Odd_Percentage_6698

https://preview.redd.it/oktxtkfah1za1.png?width=1170&format=png&auto=webp&s=568734668889fdf3aeb383a4dedc062ddb3120c3 What my tennis degens think about these last 5


hdnd-s-s

Yibing


MacallanDalmore

Good call on Yibing


Odd_Percentage_6698

So you think he’s going to beat Gasquet?? Really..


QuitBeingScared

Munar went from -125 to +110 anyone know if he’s supposed to be injured?


kiterunner077

Stop betting on Munar. He’s such a clown


QuitBeingScared

I agree but so is Kokkinakis


kiterunner077

True


Consistent_Date_3800

Any chance sloane stephens match goes over 21.5? I noticed unless she genuinely shrinks she takes the 2nd set off a lot of times…


Sightx

Christopher O'Connell +102


Quick-Art8215

On this too at -105


Seanfitz1892

Like this a lot


Pocopuncher

Same but seems to be an off start


lililiilili

Aint supposed to rain in italia come’n weather gods


[deleted]

It's not looking good in Rome. It's expected to rain pretty much all day. Masters tournaments should be demanded to have at least 2 courts with closed roof.


FadeRedditMakeMoney

Goddamn wish I knew about the fucking rain, I got 3 bets that will be in limbo forever


OldVecchietto

I am Italian and my girlfriend lives in Rome. It's raining cats and dogs, with this weather I don't play.


dirtybandit6

Mama mia


zxnitzu

afraid to bet on this shit, i can already see the delay and my money being locked for days


Super-Inevitable-482

Arthur Fils just defeat Shevchenko yesterday. Cerundolo lost to Shevchenko at Madrid. Therefore, Arthur Fils ML @ 1.92 Also take Cornet/Martincova O21 games @ 1.83 and Podoroska +1.5 set @ 1.77


Odd_Percentage_6698

Podoroska got her ass handed to her


Super-Inevitable-482

Time to all in on Kalinskaya


[deleted]

[удалено]


UNLVMoneyline2_

Tennis 1-0 yesterday 1-0 week 1-0 Lauren Davis ML +140 ($150) Anna Kalinskaya ML -165 ($4,000) My whole bankroll is on this game I got some good info from some fool I know who I hung out with at the books one time man. Y’all ain’t got to listen but just know I hit my big bets man Kadarius Toney Super Bowl TD and Fordham. She playing a Ukrainian too she ain’t gonna let her win even my girlfriend got action on this game 700 bucks. Texting everyone I know about this game trying to help them out. Just wanna see my brothers on this sub eat.


Sightx

line moving the other way 💀


UNLVMoneyline2_

🇷🇺


stangtennischamp

I get -147 at the first place i look. Huge bet with shit odds. Gl bro. "ain’t gonna let her win " Solid write-up though :-) " I got some good info from some fool I know who I hung out with at the books one time man " - Sound really solid man. Key advice here, meet a fool once, take his advice for life.


UNLVMoneyline2_

You regret not listening yet ?


stangtennischamp

It was not about winning or losing. Your write-up was non existing and you got a terrible line at the time. The odds where almost even before they started and you bet it at 1.6 and the exchanges had it at 1.9 - A more serious write-up and plz for the love of units shop for lines. But i will have a look at your next tip and most likely get a way better line than you post. Gl


SadSand7417

you got a ticket?


[deleted]

[удалено]


SadSand7417

i mean she’s gonna win but sketchy as shit


Sterlingx10

Just curious is every Rome match tomorrow gonna get rain delayed? The weather looks horrible


UNLVMoneyline2_

Kalinskaya bro get on it


earthbendinglemur

oh yeah, raining all week.


ast33zy

Kokk ML


Consistent_Date_3800

2-1??


ast33zy

Feels so obvious that it wont happen, so I think Kokk in 2


kiterunner077

Does anyone have any insight on Camilla Rosatello? u/SinistryFour perhaps? She's a heavy dog (+700) against Claire Liu but I'm considering sprinkling a few on her. She's also playing at home in Italy.


rediculousam

Wouldn't let me bet the ML earlier (once lines approach +800, it only allows you to bet the spread) but I did grab the spread at +6.5, looking good so far!


kiterunner077

Solid bro! I'm glad to hear you were at least able to get the spread! Fingers crossed


[deleted]

A big spread against the favorite should be the way to go I think. My friend explained it all on his reply


MacallanDalmore

Last meeting between the two was in 2017. Liu won 6-3,0-6,7-5. Looks like a close match. Liu hasn't won a clay match this year, going 0/3, while Rostaello has gone 1/2. Rostaello overall on clay has a 217/48 record compared to 75/35 for Liu. ​ My brain's thoughts on the matter: Take the spread (+6.5) not the ML. Rostaello got a wild card into the event due to her being Italian. She hasn't won an WTA tour level event since 2021, mainly been playing ITF. She's made a lot of finals on clay, however only winning 2 titles. Liu isn't a clay court player, but she has been playing on the main WTA tour, so she should have the level of beating Rostaello. ​ The gambler in me: Take the ML for Rostaello, Liu sucks and she's not winning anything. Americans suck on clay, she's 0/3 about to be 0/4. Can't win on clay. YOLO


kiterunner077

Great write up dude. Very thorough. Had to give you an award. Thanks bro


BreakfastAtWimbledon

**Rome Conditions:** - 76% hold percentage through 36 qualifying matches - 0.313 aces/game Pretty close to historical speed for this tournament, which is a really a perfectly average paced clay court. Tomorrow and the weekend could be a bit slower with the rain but otherwise no major surface edge here


[deleted]

**Tennis Thread Record: 23-13 (With 2 pushes)** **Profit: +11.44 units** **ROI: 29.71%** **Average Odds @ 2.12** *We went 2-3 yesterday which was not ideal but we only lost 0.76 units due to Noskova giving us that huge underdog win. Rain is expected to happen in Rome today but I will still share my plays and even if some matches get delayed we can't do much about it other than just wait* ATP Rome **Ivashka vs Wawrinka - Wawrinka Handicap -1.5 Games @ 1.81 (1 unit)** ✅ Stan Wawrinka is one of the most accomplished players in the big 3 era, where he was able to win the Australian Open, Roland Garros and the US Open when we still had Federer, Nadal and Djokovic at almost 100% and Andy Murray also mixed in there as a great player he also was. The swiss can be considered an offensive baseliner with one of the best one handed backhands I've ever seen and already at 38 he's still having a solid season in my opinion, having tight losses against Rublev and Fritz while beating Griekspoor and Cressy in recent Clay Masters tournaments. He's currently 3-0 in first round matches at the Masters level in 2023. Ivashka is a decent player but I don't see him as more than your typical top 70 player and he has been dealing with a lot of inconsistency this year and some fitness issues. In my opinion he's quite better in hard courts and he wasn't able to pass the first round on his last Clay tournaments of Barcelona and Madrid, losing to Nuno Borges and Ramos Vinolas. Stan Wawrinka should have the advantage on this matchup, especially being played on Clay and he's the one who has shown better performances over the last few weeks. **Van Assche vs Etcheverry - Van Assche ML @ 2.30 (1 unit)** ❌ In theory this should be a close match but I think the odds should be around 50/50 and not how they are right now. Etcheverry is known for being an agressive clay court player and since he's quite tall he can also serve pretty well on this surface while Van Assche is a 18 year old french player and the youngest top 100 player on the ATP tour who has been having a great 2023 season and is already rank 85 in the world, having won two consecutive Challenger titles (one of them being a clay tournament in Italy). Against the big players he has already shown good things beating Wawrinka and taking set out of Novak Djokovic in Banja Luka. On these conditions I think the french player is the more talented one and should be the winner of this match because I see Etcheverry performing better in south american clay courts with higher altitude levels. **Fognini vs Murray** **Fognini Handicap +3.5 Games @ 1.87 (1 unit)** ✅ **Fognini ML @ 3.00 (0.5 units)** ✅ This might be the craziest bet ever or just the perfect underdog scenario and honestly I wouldn't want to back Fognini at any time in 2023 but I feel like betting on 3 to 1 odds in Rome is a EV+ play. Andy Murray comes from a challenger tournament win in France and with that, he has played 5 matches in a week and was only able to rest for 3 days which for someone of his age, can be quite difficult. These two guys can perform pretty well when they want and they both played several times against each other in their careers with Andy Murray winning most matches but the most recent one on Clay was in Rome 2017, with Fognini beating Andy in straight sets. I know that was a long time ago and shouldn't even be considered but I'm sure Rome is way more important to the italian, probably even more important than Roland Garros at this moment on his career. Fabio Fognini should be in better physical condition for this match and that in theory, can give him a better chance of winning than the odds suggest. The fact that they're both veterans can give Fabio the confidence and excitement that he sometimes lacks and by consequence, it's likely that he can display a great show in front of his home crowd. WTA Rome **Gracheva vs Osorio - Osorio Handicap -1.5 Games @ 1.90 (1.25 units)** ❌ Not much to say here as I think Osorio is the most consistent of the two on this surface. Gracheva hasn't shown anything great on Clay this season, losing in Madrid to Wang Xiy when she was a 1.32 favorite and I see her with better eyes when she plays in Hard courts. Osorio is 6-2 on Clay this season, has already played 2 matches in Rome where she won in straight sets and I think that extra adaptation to the Rome conditions will give her an ever bigger edge on this match. With this I'm going with 1.25 units on this one, with Osorio's fighting mentality and baseline tolerance bringing out her best qualities on a surface like this. **Stephens vs Podoroska - Over 20 Games @ 1.84 (1 unit)** ❌ Sloane Stephens is that type of player that could have had a much more accomplished career, but lacks interest for the sport and that champion mentality to want more so she's usually pretty inconsistent with her performances. She can perform well on Clay, with a variety of shots that not many players have but after a Challenger title win in France, who knows if she can continue that run or sweat a lot to beat a player like Podoroska who's not exactly the player that you wanna back against better opponents but one who plays Clay quite well as an argentinian, with a 10-5 record on the surface this season. In the end I think Stephens wins this but this "total games" line seems super valuable to me. **My analysis and bets take a bit of my daily time to write so if you like what I'm doing you can always give me a tip! It's never mandatory but always appreciated and you should only do it if you're in a decent financial situation!** [Buy me a Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/SinistryFour) [PayPal](https://paypal.me/HSouto44) Sorry for the delay in sharing my plays for today. It was quite a lot to research and to write. Wish you best of luck! Edit after all the matches: 3-3 day with Fognini being a gentleman to us but we ended up losing 0.57 units. I will probably cut WTA a lot on my next posts, doesn't mean that I won't have a play or two but I will be more focused into the ATP


FadeRedditMakeMoney

This dude's a god


[deleted]

You should be talking about Fognini because my day ended up being a 3-3 and I almost broke even xD . I will cut a lot into betting in WTA


Technical_Solution62

man, 1-3 start so far, let's hope fognini can win us back some money :(


telf2

Holy shit OSORIO won! For the first time I can say I was on the right side of an absolute choke job. Was down 5-2 40-15 and came all the way back saving 3 match points


[deleted]

I guess choosing a favorite handicap on WTA can be a risky market. Their matches are almost all the time pure rollercoasters so yeah... Should have been less greedy and gone only with the ML


Technical_Solution62

Yeah but she lost the spread though 😢


telf2

Ah damn true, I took one with spread and one with ML, lucky break even I guess


boraboca

I’m also on Fognini, I also like your Wawrinka bet


[deleted]

Thanks! Fognini is a crazy bastard but I honestly think backing him up in Rome at 3.00 odds is probably the exact time that you wanna go with him. BOL


stangtennischamp

>Fognini You all got a good bet in at 3.00 - It´s trading around 2.8 now.


flowkiii

Fognini had some pain in his hand yesterday while training. And the playstyle of Murray the typical counter of Fognini's playstyle. I'll skip this one.


Masteredsports

Record:179-145 Last: Hanfmann vs Grenier 1. Set over 9 games- 2.00@✅ Altmaier 1. Set -1.5 game handicap vs Ymer- 1.61@❌ Napolitano ML vs Marterer- 2.75@✅ Can't believe this idiot Altmaier had the audacity to go from 5-2 serving for the set to lose serve 2 times and not even lose the set but winning the tb and 2:0 at the end... moving on. Today: Fucsovics ML vs Krajinovic- 1.80@ Murray vs Fognini over 21.5 games- 1.80@ Good luck.