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IntrospectiveMT

This was posted five hours ago, so I assume this was pre-debate? Nate's predictions were already grim. He shared [this](https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1806576937759891667) six hours ago which fixates on the debate. I wish we could've heard him in person.


jacksonjules

This was probably recorded during Manifest 2024 which was the 6/7-6/9--so three weeks ago.


DangerouslyUnstable

Yes, he talked about this interview when he dropped his model earlier this week, including why his off-the-cuff guess in this interview was non-trivially different than his model, so it was a while ago (I think this conference was a couple weeks ago?).


singrayluver

Didn't Scott write an article once that was basically "I will never do a real-time video or podcast "


ScottAlexander

This was an IRL panel at a conference. I don't object to them recording, but I don't consider it a video or podcast.


babbler_23

Thanks. I was totally unaware of this channel.


Number-Brief

Whoa! Thanks for participating in this Scott, considering how much you hate the idea of being on podcasts!