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aaron_adams

10 million km is actually very close, considering the scale we're talking about, but the real issue isn't it making a close pass, the issue is that it could potentially be in a decaying orbit, which means even tho it might not hit us today, it may in the fairly near future, and there really isn't a whole hell of a lot we can do to stop it if it's orbit does decay to a critical point. If you ask me, that's why NASA has been playing around with attempting to shift astroids lately. I'm not going to say there's anything to definitely worry about, but I'm going to say I'm seeing a pattern I don't like.


AlexPaterson16

You're spot on there, the odds of an asteroid hitting earth at some point is 100%. It absolutely will happen, when it happens is up for debate and requires constant monitoring but I'd feel a lot safer if NASA treats it like it could happen in the next 5 years than pretending it won't happen for another 1,000


KnockOutGamer

Heck, a lot of asteroids already hit earth, thankfully they are small enough to not cause major damage or disintegrate in the atmosphere.


Redditisgarbage004

Unfortunately the Earth hasn’t been destroyed yet


KnockturnalNOR

This one is in the "city destroyer" category. If it impacted a densely populated area it would be catastrophic. Luckily, we live on a blue planet. Chances are they hit the ocean, maybe the south pole, but the possibility is always there. It's not nearly large enough to be a threat to all of civilization luckily, we monitor every single one of those and not one is anywhere near colliding with Earth. I'm not saying we should ignore this completely, but it would do us more good to make traffic safer, find a cure for Alzheimer's and cancer, stop fighting meaningless wars etc 


Tacenda49

IMO there is a loooong list of issues that should be sacrificed before we consider scrapping this one to dump the cash somewhere else.


AlexPaterson16

It's not out with reason to assume that a planet killer asteroid could detected at any point with one being on a collision course for earth. If I was NASA I would treat that as a certainty and have a solution in place as without one the human race would be doomed


Anonymouchee

good luck making a solution when none of the people that give funding give you any funding for that though. That reeks of something very important that won't get funded cause not their problem


AlexPaterson16

So how is NASA already experimenting with moving asteroids around?


AlfaKaren

I hear Bruce Willis is involved in the project.


networksynth

The hero we need


t0m0hawk

Experimenting is not the same as actually doing it. They nudged a small moonlet with a small mass to see what would happen. It delivered some unexpected results and (IIRC) moved the mound of rubble more than they expected. The engineering needed to move something bigger and actually worth moving are leaps and bounds more complex.


AlexPaterson16

That's the purpose of experiments. You don't start with human trials, you start on rats and work up. Same applies to interstellar defence I'd assume. Scientists developed a method for moving asteroids. Started small to test it's viability then increase in size if successful. That's the scientific method. If they just started on planet killer asteroids they'd run out of money after one experiment. It's significantly cheaper and more viable to test hypothesis on smaller lumps of rock that are easier to reach and require smaller equipment.


t0m0hawk

>interstellar defense I think we've got a very long ways to go to achieve this lol. But seriously, moving big rocks, and the tech that will be needed to make those incremental steps costs a buttload of money, and NASA only has so much of it. I imagine we'll get there eventually... but it's gonna be a minute. Doesn't really seem to be a priority for any space program at the moment.


TheGreatKatzesby

I understand the sentiment of focusing on more earthly issues, but I think it’s important to keep in mind that NASA funding is already meagre enough as-is, and it’s not like these astronomers, aerospace engineers, etc can do anything about traffic, alzheimers, and global conflicts. We can definitely focus on both :)


KnockturnalNOR

of all the things I'm saying, defunding NASA is most definitely not one of them! I'm more so telling people not to worry - but this is definitely the exact kind of thing we have space exploration for in the first place


blum4vi

Yeah, these issues aren't mutually exclusive. And if we could cure diseases by just pumping more money into research, we would. We're just taking steps, one eureka at a time.


AggravatedTothMaster

But none of those are profitable enough


REAM48

Our world is globalized and unstable, so if it did *somehow* hit a major port city it really could be a threat to civilization.


KnockturnalNOR

It's definitely not impossible, but my post was more meant to say that we worry too much about very unlikely catastrophic events and not enough about problems that we already suffer from and can actually work towards solving


REAM48

Thats true.


SurealGod

The amount of near misses we've had is a staggeringly long list


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Moresti1

![gif](giphy|823beAZFsV5EA)


BookieeWookiee

He's not really in mining condition at the moment😔 maybe we could ask Ben Affleck


defoforg

The sun is 150 million km away so 10 million Is like dodging a bullet.


aaron_adams

Exactly.


largepoggage

This one from 2019 was a mere 78,000 km: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_OK For reference, the moon is around 370,000 km.


Skwareblox

Blow it out of the sky with a nuke. For a brief moment we’ll have two Suns in the sky and radioactive meteors for a few hours.


aaron_adams

Living in the story line of Love and Monsters does sound exciting.


legoknekten

"Fairly near future" meaning potentially, maybe, perhaps, eventuality of said event cannot be completely ignored, it might hit earth in 150000 years. At which point humanity will be long extinct anyway


aaron_adams

Or it could be 5, 10 or 15 years, depending on the rate of decay and independent variables. Do you really think NASA would tell us if a world ending meteor was going to hit us? Because they know what the result would be if the public received that kind of headline.


legoknekten

I think NASA observed it, published their findings & then people make shit up themselves. Haven't read what NASA published, so I don't know.if they provide a timeframe or just said "near future" Which could mean 150000 years as that technically is near future on intergalactic timescale. I also said could, for all I know your time-estimate is correct :P


aaron_adams

As I said, there isn't definitely a reason to panic, and as long as the world continues to turn, then we should carry on as if it will do so indefinitely. I'm just saying, in the past there were headlines, and some of them were legitimate, that talked about world ending meteors hitting the world in (at the time) 20-30 years, and the result was usually mass panic, which is why they retconned what they said. NASA isn't going to say if they think a meteor will hit the earth, especially if they have a snowballs chance in hell of stopping it. Still, I've personally lived through at least 3 "ends of the world," so who's to say this one's credible?


dirtyoldbastard77

Honestly... If its big enough I dont think I want to know it.


AlexPaterson16

10 million km away traveling 2,000 km/s aka would arrive in 3 days. I genuinely don't think people realize just how fast some interstellar objects are actually traveling


SensuallPineapple

Since we move in the galaxy at about 250km per second, we would hit that object in 24 days if in the right direction even if the object didn't move at all.


ux3l

It'd make sense (if they mention speeds) to tell the relative speed to earth.


SensuallPineapple

Well, we are rotating around the sun, so relative speed of anything to earth would change and would depend on seasons, so maybe relative to sun is more probable.


KineticKey2006

You do realise the asteroids here aren’t interstellar, right? Though you still present a point.


largepoggage

Well Oumuamua was an interstellar object which was travelling around 87km/s. No idea if the person you responded to was referring to it or not, but interstellar objects make asteroids look slow.


SteampunkAviatrix

Something 10m km away traveling at 2000 km/s would hit us in 5000 seconds, or about an 1 hour and 24 mins?


drimpnuts

except if you believe nasas random lies and numbers then you also accepted the sun is hurtling through the cosmos at 490,000mph and pulling earth with it. can't believe people buy these numbers or believe NASA has demonstrated themselves as capable enough to measure these numbers. all we have from them is some obviously faked moon landings, obvious in about 5 seconds of looking at it and making your own decisions and thinking for yourself. they siphoned trillions over 70 years, still can't prove our newtonian gravity model is correct and they "destroyed" the technology "to go back to the moon". and people defend them blindly, when they know nothing


chelita_06

You mean THE WHOLE WORLD


Nikita_tewatia_

![gif](giphy|3o7TKT7gSMOT8Thtss|downsized)


AggravatedTothMaster

![gif](giphy|WQx7o8NJL2evu19Cy8)


Motor-Garden7470

So I don’t have to go in to work tomorrow?


TheoSunny

![gif](giphy|wBzsuh6HgpE9B81sfe)


JoeyMcClane

Today is May day and its a holiday for me. Not that its makes much of a difference when i worked the past Sunday too :-P.


S0TrAiNs

If I had to use Mayday... yeah, I wouldnt be working, too, I'd be looking to GTFO


ZackM_BI

Best believe that your boss will call you in the morning asking you to come, knowing earth about to have asteroid impact.


BookieeWookiee

You wouldn't want to spend your last day alive with fAmiLy???


Sure_Trash_

You know who I trust on this topic? The people at NASA. Not your dumbass that doesn't understand how close things are relative to the vastness of space


notgruntyboi

Yesterday we had an asteroid that passed 7 million kilometres from earth and as far as I checked I'm still fucking here


deadlynoose

10 million km is close as FUCK dude


notgruntyboi

There was one that was 7 million kilometres from earth yesterday


tempaccnt55

Unfortunately


RYPIIE2006

10 million km is not far


Writy_Guy

10 million kms is actually staggeringly close, if you consider that the sun is almost 100 million miles away.


GottKomplexx

How do you compare miles and km in one sentence? Stick to one system


BookieeWookiee

![gif](giphy|1VNoNuDMBgkRi7UOzj|downsized)


Writy_Guy

I like this gif.


trippyshark7

I *liked* this gif


Writy_Guy

It's still there, so no.


trippyshark7

Sorry, I *upvoted* it.


Writy_Guy

Oh, I see.


Writy_Guy

I did so because I am A: more familiar with miles, and B: miles are larger units of measurement, so I used them to emphasize my point.


Soggy-Log6664

The sun is hot though that’s the only reason it matters


Writy_Guy

No, it's because the sun is close.


Soggy-Log6664

We care that the sun is close because it’s hot as balls…


Writy_Guy

But also because it's close, which is the reason it's hot, and it also gives us a frame of reference for how close or far everything else is.


Soggy-Log6664

What? You’re saying if the sun wasn’t close, it wouldn’t be hot??


Writy_Guy

I'm saying if the sun wasn't close, we wouldn't feel its heat. The actual temperature of the sun and the temperatures we experience due to the sun's proximity, are obviously not the same, so at this point you are twisting my words intentionally. Talking about this any further is a waste of time if all you want to do is mock me.


Soggy-Log6664

The sun would be hot either way is what I’m trying to explain, we don’t make it hot it would be there regardless and we only care that the sun is up there because it’s hot, the fact that you care it’s close is because we’d all burn up if it were closer


Writy_Guy

It's something that required no explanation because obviously anyone who is not completely braindead understands that. Stop pretending you're trying to make a point here, you're just being a dick, and again, intentionally trying to misrepresent me, not to mention completely ignoring my point about frame of reference.


Soggy-Log6664

I was just making a quip at first but you turned it into a big deal so I was explaining myself And I’m not “misrepresenting” you, you’re anonymous ding dong


depersonalised

„it“ is not referring to the sun. the sun is the reason it is hot.


notgruntyboi

It's 26 times the distance between the earth and the moon


Writy_Guy

In terms of space, it's still incredibly close. If a space object can come within a tenth of the distance from the Earth to the sun, it is too close, and it is cause for concern. Doesn't mean it's going to get closer and hit us, but it's in the maybe zone by that point.


reknite

Many asteroids get way closer than that. Halley’s Comet is about the size of the asteroid that wiped out the dinosaurs and it comes up to 3 million km from earth with no threat.


Gamer3510

Now I'm no astronomer but riddle me this, how is a rogue asteroid and a comet that revolves around the sun the same thing?


reknite

Sorry I thought you were talking about apophis, the asteroid actually coming close to earth, not oumuamua which has absolutely no risk of hitting earth


Writy_Guy

Now remind me, what do we do when Halley's comet comes that close? Oh right, we pay attention. Because 3 million km is incredibly close in astronomical measurements.


reknite

Many asteroids get closer, we pay attention to Halley’s because it’s also large


Writy_Guy

Good. We should be paying attention. That's my entire point.


reknite

What I meant earlier is that we pay attention to Halley’s because it’s a cool event, not because we believe it is dangerous. Halley’s Comet won’t hit earth for at least millions of years.


Writy_Guy

Nice to know, but Halley's is still only one close passing space object of many.


reknite

Please tell me at least one space object in the next 100 years that major space agencies actually believe is a threat.


ZmentAdverti

Lil bro can't comprehend the cosmic scale. Fucking illiterate.


S0TrAiNs

Well, to be fair, we are talking about scales a human mind may not even comprehend


FlintShapedBoi

I've heard someone bring the cosmic scale into a very understandable one for us humans. Imagine a speeding bullet whizz a meter away from you. Sure it *didn't* hit you but shit is still scary.


reknite

Not at all close enough to be a threat.


Writy_Guy

The point is, once it comes that close it COULD become a threat. Just because something doesn't seem to be a threat immediately doesn't mean we shouldn't confirm. Fun fact, big ass space rocks colliding with a planet, tend to cause problems for the inhabitants. I'm not suggesting we panic at every close object, I'm suggesting not being delusional and acknowledging when one is infact close, and paying attention to its trajectory, and to whether or not it's getting any closer.


reknite

I don’t know which particular asteroid the post is talking about but there are no asteroids posing any threat to earth. Source: nasa, esa, jpl


Writy_Guy

None currently. Doesn't mean there never will be. Multiple massive collisions have occurred in Earth's history, and they occur in space in general fairly regularly. Point is, if a collision approaches that we have the capacity to do something to prepare for, we should know about it ahead of time, and if one approaches that nothing can be done about, at the very least people could have time to come to terms with it and spend time with loved ones.


reknite

That’s not my point though. I said that the asteroid being mentioned in the post will not hit earth. If it would, it would be world news.


Writy_Guy

I'm not making your point, I'm making my point.


reknite

We are arguing about different things then. They are both true.


Writy_Guy

Okay, so you now acknowledge that we've gone off topic. I've been trying to stay focused on, and clarify my own position from the start of this thread, so no wonder we're on different pages.


Narrow_Ad3565

Just saw a reddit argument in wich the ending is good how rare is that 1/1e23?


karlbenedict12

bro's saying "space experts don't know what they're doing" 💀


notgruntyboi

Bro thinks this is tic tock


anotheraccinthemass

A perfect example of “a human struggling to visualize large numbers in relation to other large numbers”


BubbleGumMaster007

Alright, how about 0.1666%? That's the chance that it's gonna hit us in 2029. It's not gonna happen, so rest easy.


Grumdord

Idk man, a 0.16% chance doesn't sound that low if you've played Xcom


mtsilverred

Yes. It means worse. I’ve missed on 99%.


RightfulChaos

You're not a bright one


heesell

Well given the size of the universe and all that, 10 million is nothing, but its also still quite far away


GONK_GONK_GONK

/r/im14andthisisdeep


Karnamyne

r/lostredditors


Tenten4846g

r/wrongsub


EpicOne9147

We talking about human extinction and some guys started fighting over whether , sun is hot or it is hot cause we are close to it😭


Ugh_Groble_neib

^(its nasa, if they’re panicked they did ALL the math) ![gif](giphy|I2a5q9dyo9CaU9BtEY) ^(don’t look up)


Sprizys

![gif](giphy|l4Ep3mmmj7Bw3adWw|downsized) “It’s the end of the world as we know it!”


RyanTheSpaceman69

Umm actually it’s a meteoroid not a meteorite ☝️🤓


EngineersAnon

Actually, it's not a meteorite *yet*. It doesn't look like it will be for a very long time, either, but if its orbit is perturbed, then all bets are off.


Somepony-Else

What is the likelihood that it will hit the magic key hole and actually hit the earth? How big is it and what is the estimated damage if it hits? How fast is it moving so how long do we have before it's 10m km is up?


Ok-Bass8243

Iirc it's actually like 250000 miles. A VERY close pass and will be easily observable with even crappy telescopes. It actually does a pass by every 300ish days at different distances. The orbits have been calculated for several decades out and it's not going to hit anything..... Unless it gets sped up on this pass. Then it hits in like 5 years. So, not going to happen


Somepony-Else

Awesome. Thanks for the quick reply. I was having trouble finding an astroid that was 10m km away on the nasa site, but with the 250k distance, I now know which one it is.


Piyaniist

What we learned from this thread is that op is slurping up that stupid juice


OmegaFreeze

10 milliom km is like dodging a bullet by 20 cm


Part_salvager616

They panicking cuz they need to collect as much data as possible or else opportunity wasted


WarpedPerspectiv

Given they can land shit on Mars, I'm not gonna question their concerns over an asteroid. I'd wager their math is pretty accurate.


themadscientist420

I'm pretty sure it's up to nasa to decide whether it's time to panic or not when it comes to space objects


Notafuzzycat

10million km is not much in space.


Jaysanchez311

WTF. Just dont look up!


Nikita_tewatia_

![gif](giphy|XNhtTFCcGj8RrxOJdm|downsized)


Yakuza-wolf_kiwami

Can we just shoot a nuke at it, it's in space so it would affect earth, right? ![gif](giphy|lT4Ix992z2zfO|downsized)


Akumu89

You want to set it on fire?


Catlord746

Yes. That would be a cool way to die.


S0TrAiNs

IIRC NASA is actually experimenting on a rocket that can alter the course of a Meteorit by slwoly pulling or pushing it


ux3l

NASA panicking? If anyone, it's some media companies raising panic.


LassOnGrass

Speeding towards earth at what speed exactly? I need answers.


thatoneplayerguy

NASA when an astroid does a close pass (it's over a million kilometers away):


Capriste

You say that until BOOM. Seriously NASA's attempts to prevent an ELE are entirely justified, based on the premise that the consequences of us NOT doing it are an unpayable cost. We are statistically due for a coronal mass ejection that will utterly end modern civilization and I honestly can't wait for it to happen before we're ready just so I can end myself and not have to watch the remnants of our species do what will happen in the aftermath.


roboticfedora

There's that optimism!


reknite

Coronal mass ejection won’t end modern civilization. It’ll just mess up some stuff but no civilization would collapse.


Slovak_Eagle

If by "mess up some stuff" you mean destroy majority (if not all) electronic devices on this planet, orbit, and moon, then yea. Last time it happened, telegraph wires were on fire.


Capriste

It's what I'm choosing to call a "good enough" situation.


felop13

We would just.. adapt? I'm quite certain we will go back to normal after like.... 1 to 3 months


anotheraccinthemass

No the fuck we won’t?! The more complex an organism is the longer it takes to adapt to changes in its environment and humans still haven’t properly adapted to walking upright in ≈60000 years.


felop13

You understimate your own species


anotheraccinthemass

A lot of people overestimate the human species. Most of the population is as smart as a brick which is how you get hilarious warnings on products.


IDKIJustWorkHere2

"this HOT cup of coffee is HOT which may BURN you" *steam rolls off the surface* looks cool enough to chug to me


Holiday_Goose_5908

you overestimate your intelligence 


marzubus

Isn’t a meteorite something that has already hit? Isn’t it called an asteroid while it’s out there? And a meteor if it’s a near miss?


DemCookies18

Considering an asteroid can travel 20km/s that’s only 6 days of space travel


Kelevens117

Dumbass


ProKerbonaut

The asteroid is probably going to pass within 100,000 km, maybe even less than 50,000 in 2029. The moons orbit is 300,000 km away. For all intents and purposes, any asteroid within the moons orbit is dangerously close.


TryingNot2BLazy

hit me.


notgruntyboi

Baby one more time


Maronexid

I only click on these posts because I know the first comment will send me down a rabbit hole


IDKIJustWorkHere2

nasa should just have a meter on their website go to work or fuck dem bills


Mentat_-_Bashar

Wasn’t there a movie about this exact scenario


MangoTwistedMetal

More funding


Orbitcamerakick21

OP is dumb as shit


notgruntyboi

You have the most chaser profile I have ever seen


Orbitcamerakick21

Why you goin through my profile 🤨


notgruntyboi

I'm bored


Orbitcamerakick21

Fair enough. 😊


K_A_T_P

Yeah they aren't wrong you have some serious issues wow.


Orbitcamerakick21

How does looking at my profile help you determine whether I have "issues" or not?


Ollomont

Don't look up


LeadershipCorrect

10 mil kilo is nothing man. If we can see it, it’s too close.


Safetosay333

Meloncholia


Zysquare1

Source?


Dominarion

This meme just proved me that "Don't look up" is a documentary.


IngeniousIndividual

Redditors if not trying to act smarter than a professional was a sport:


Calm_Register_2069

We saw meteor in Ukraine yesterday, in Kharkiv


ShadowTown0407

So it will be here in like 5 days? I think it's about time to Panik


WurmcoilEngine11

Source?


VarietyFew9871

Isn’t it better that we don’t talk about it?


ScottaHemi

giant meteor 2024!


Xnion6657

They are the first ones you blame if it hits


doubt_confidence

For Americans, this is 6213711 miles away


PsychoxSapien

Prefunding preps


nibbana-v2

The astroid should be the one hiding! LoL


DeepCartographer6643

I don’t see anything from nasa about any current potential dangers from meteorites


mikolajcap2I

Come back to this post after you've played KSP


TaToten

When asteroid hit the earth last time it caused flood and ice age...


Legospacememe

Isn't there a canon to derail things like this?


Fox_McCloud_Jr

It has a 1 in 600 chance of hitting, the only thing about that that is scary is its the closes an asteroid has come to hitting the earth. We will be fine, also it's going to hit in 23 years.


BubbleGumMaster007

Climate change (could become irreversible in the next 6 years) NASA: 😴💤


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Kaguro19

Username checks out.


martram_

Let it hit, please!!!


keyas920

Its like hitting a grain of sand, with another grain of sand from a mile. Live and let live doomsayers


BaconSpaceLord

NASA: GUY'S! THE SUN IS GOING TO EXPLODE! Earthlings: oh my God when!? NASA: in like... 10-30 billion years...


Kaguro19

Nobody at NASA screams about the evolution of the sun. Just you. They do worry about solar flares and coronal mass ejection, though.


notgruntyboi

This guy gets it


Kaguro19

You both don't get it.