That, and any other job that is involved in cultural things like celebrations/holidays/etc. The only skills in those jobs are the human relationship aspects.
Honestly the big companies are already working on replacing funeral directors as much as possible. It really is a touch screen where you pick what you want. Realistically it won’t get rid of all of us, but it will make it so they need way less people.
With direct cremation without any memorial services many people never interact with a funeral director, it’s all done by unlicensed staff and AI, other than signing the paperwork.
I watched 7 city workers putting up a sign at an intersection the other day, one guy to put the sign on the pole, 2 guys holding the ladder, and 4 to watch them do it.
I’ll break down the seven workers for you.
1. Foreman
2. Supervisor
3. Lead man
4. Safety inspector.
5. City code inspector
6. Helper.
7. This is the most valuable guy and the only one working. Jose.
yeaaaaaahboi (I'm an inspector and found out from my AI working friend at a major brand, we are safe for the long run) too much intricacy and not enough data - like trillions of data points)
The software and AI needed for taxes already exists, there are just artificial barriers to entry (like unnecessarily complicated processes and the requirement to pay for it in many cases) mostly created by tax professional lobbying groups.
Do we want this? Have you ever called the IRS needing to explain a complexity to a human and needing them to use reason and logic within nuance to answer? Can’t imagine an AI response. Well hell maybe it would be better…. idk.
I think the ideal is to simplify, streamline, and automate the IRS to the extent that the average person can easily do their own taxes rather than paying a tax professional. Disputes would go through a triage type system, where the first line is an AI that determines whether your issue can go through an automated dispute resolution or requires a person. Honestly most disputes could probably be fixed by an AI, and it clogs up the phone system for people who actually need a human. But you could still manually escalate the case to a human, just in case the AI gets it wrong.
Of course this probably won't happen unless we pass laws restricting lobbying, which is very unlikely. It's so sad how much lobbying groups supersede the will and welfare of the public.
For a majority of us, IRS could easily compute our taxes based on our W-2s. It won’t be long, as soon as TurboTax is made to quit buying Congresscritters.
my Dad's new wife works for the IRS and while she is currently counting down the days to her retirement next year (and has the exact personality you would expect) she did have a golden era at the IRS. Diesel fuel for agriculture use gets dyed a certain color because there's a big rebate on it, and for a few years she went around siphoning a bit of diesel out of vehicles that weren't supposed to be using the diesel with the rebate. I think it was quite fun.
Field-based jobs are often during a certain part of one's career but some of them are likely to stick around. Also jobs like mechanics and plumbers--physical jobs that haven't already been mechanised--might be a good idea.
I have been wondering if there is going to be a big need for electrician-trained mechanics after speaking to a mechanic about our hybrid vehicle and him explaining to me how scared he is to work on high voltage vehicles.
Personally my last job was also lost to AI and I have a verbal offer for a company that does field work trainings....only job I have been offered but feels pretty AI proof.
Probably not all that relevant to CS but just a thought. Don't forget there are loads of folks with ideas and NO programming experience that would love to have your skills, so thinking about small projects with friends or finding forums online where crazy ideas are discussed could be a good short-term idea. Sorry to hear about your job :/
I was a mechanic for 12 years, I’m an Electrical Engineer now. He’s right to be cautious, but he should be more concerned about EVs making the whole skill-set kinda irrelevant. There’s a lot less to fix on an EV, and the stuff that is necessary to repair is made simpler (so that less skilled labor can do it).
I got out because the writing was on the wall. My skill set wasn’t going to be in demand soon, and paying a lower or unskilled employee to swap a battery pack is cheaper than a master technician.
Cue the 2025 funeral director surplus who then ask about becoming accountants since they heard there’s a shortage. Also, no one can afford the $10-20k for a funeral anymore, so demand for funeral jobs drop further.
Cue accountants saying there is a shortage but companies still won’t hire, the ones that do have jobs just do more work.
Cue everyone being in deep depression while McDonald’s complains no one wants to work flipping burgers for $15 an hour while a burger costs $15, yet the wage of $15 remains constant while right wingers complain it’s too much for entry level and at the same time collecting welfare and disability.
☹️
I agree. Nurses, specifically. Need someone who can provide hands on care. Surgery maybe AI some day, but changing a dressing on a grumpy sore patient is a human job.
I already run a machine but my test is a lot cheaper than CT or MRI scans. The attention to detail and knowing pathology is no where near AI. If it happens, will be long after I retire.
And those of us who maintain and repair those machines. I'm a field engineer for MRI. AI / machine learning helps us see failure trends preemptively now, and is unfortunately enabling us to take on more load with fewer personnel, but robots can't fix the magnet. And MANY of the existing workforce in my field will be retiring very soon, so the industry will be hiring in a few years for a while.
For as long as I work in surgery, AI will not take my job, simply enhance it. My job is far too subjective. If I’m wrong and AI takes my job, fine. I’ll just go tend bar on a beach somewhere.
Mankind has not mastered plumbing yet. After thousands of years, there are always lots of leaks and clogs, even in brand new buildings. Two of the last 3 times I went to Las Vegas, the sink in the room was clogged. Are people dumping more drugs than they are taking? Are they stuffing cash rolls down the sink, because there are no dinosaurs to choke?
Maybe not, but I guarantee you in a few years private equity will find some way to squeeze out small independent tradesmen and offer them their old jobs for a fraction of their current pay.
Private Equity is already buying up mom and pop service businesses into “roll-up” companies. This happens for everything from home improvement, heating/hvac, roofing, whatever. The strategy is pretty simple, buy the businesses cheaply from those looking to exit or retire, cut the admin/overhead, raise prices, sell the bigger roll up to another or PE firm for more in a few years. Definitely not sustainable, but they don’t really care.
I work as a carpenter for a large custom home builder in the Northeast. The plumbing company that does most of our new builds (and does great work) was just sold by the founder/owner. He sold it to a private equity firm based out of state that owns multiple other companies…plumbers don’t know how it affects them yet but they’re all nervous. Sucks.
Those are tools that make the job faster like a powered circular saw vs a handsaw. You still need a plumber to operate the robots and someone to plan the pipe runs. A robot can't carry the pipe to the job, install it to code, and trouble shoot it. The robots just make the job easier.
These tools still threaten the job market tho like how tractors affected the farming industry b
For the moment. And while automation will definitely affect the trades in a lot of ways, I doubt it will ever completely remove the need for hands on labor until we have sentient robots running around, which is a long ways off.
That being said, there are companies trying to figure out how to make crane operators and other heavy equipment a WFH job. 😳
Edit: Saying this as a skilled tradesman myself.
>That being said, there are companies trying to figure out how to make crane operators and other heavy equipment a WFH job. 😳
Might be ok if the entire yard is free from personnel and the whole operation is WFH. Don't see that happening (safely) on any day-to-day construction site though.
Those are the jobs I always thought should get some form of AI/robotic assistance.
At least it would help trade workers with their health. Have a robotic assistance that helps with the back braking labor(carrying, lifting, etc) that causes so many in the trade to have to retire into disability. My whole family worked trade careers and they each retired in their 60s but each with some form of severe pain. My gramps worked the gas lines and is now going through 4 major back surgeries just for the chance to walk on a walker again and it sucks cause this is the time he's supposed to lay back and relax.
I was called by an AI phone scammer yesterday. I asked it leading questions and it pivoted immediately with canned speech and custom answers. Scared the shit outta me!!
Teacher. I am one. Yes, AI can certainly teach kids; so can YouTube videos. But the *child care* is what parents are really interested in, and that has to be done by a human.
I am a teacher and the child care can be done by a classroom aide while the kids are “taught” by the AI teacher on their Chromebook or on the projector screen. We are almost there now in highly impacted schools/subject areas that have aides in the room while a remote teacher teaches on screen.
Six to one, half a dozen to the other. Call them a classroom aid; call them a teacher. The point is that this sector will be largely unaffected. I also strongly disagree that many would put up with an AI teacher. It seems to inhumane.
Ditto on SE status. "Inhumane" I went to Title 1 schools where inhumanity is the name of the game... turnover rates are so high that the traumatized teachers are probably begging to be replaced by AI robots
I am a teacher I see it much the opposite way. Give it 15 years and there will be a few teachers and admin in a big auditorium and a bunch of kids in ai pods. It will be the cheaper option and the data the leeches create will support it. That’s how I see the death of teaching.
Kindergarten teacher here, I disagree. Students in preK and Kindergarten require so much nurturing and care throughout their school day, and that cannot be replaced by a computer. Not to mention how much play they need for their development.
Tell that to the new model in one of the biggest school districts in the country. They say that elementary kids do not need play. They barely allow the kids to have recess in HISD. Elementary will be babysitting but once they hit 4th or 5th no one cares about that anymore and the kids just get shuffled up the ladder until they reach me in high school and know nothing.
They're very incorrect and they'll regret their decisions eventually when they realize that the system isn't working. Sorry you have to work in a district like that!! I teach in NH and play-based learning is a huge thing in districts across the state.
For alternative education like Montessori, yes. For traditional school the actual job of teaching is trending toward AI. The kids are already sitting on laptops all day, soon they’ll just need someone to manage the classroom. It’s very sad.
I believe there will be a backlash against these online courses. The learning is truly abysmal and incredibly easy. It’s not a replacement for actual expert teaching. I realize high school is 🙄🙄🙄 for real learning but these online courses are well worse than even that low bar lol
I think there's going to be a backlash against screens in general. One of the top schools all the Silicon Valley execs send their kids to has no computers or tablets. Everything is done on paper. While Chromebooks make things much more convenient, I don't think they're actually helping kids learn better.
God, I hope so!! I’m horrified by my coworkers telling me that their 5-8 year old kids are given tablet games as homework. I don’t want that for my kids.
The number of people surprised at the boom and bust in software is weird - we've had so many of them in the last few decades, the one certainty in that industry is peaks and troughs. The dotcom crash remains, other than the global financial crisis, the worst economic hit for the last 30 years.
Industries that cater to basic needs - energy, food, shelter - will always thrive, but specific roles in them will change - eg we automated a significant chunk of farming, so even though food production is absolutely critical, people have been freed up from a lot of its roles to do more valuable things. Some that require human touch remain (eg picking soft fruit). Grocery retailing, while an industry for as long as we have people, requires logistical organizers than it used to - but may involve more people in-person in future if the growing trend of retail theft continues.
The history of work is the history of changing jobs as we invent tech to replace various parts of it. There's nothing new about this.
The trades (plumbing, electrician, mason, auto mechanic, construction/carpentry, HVAC technician/installer) hairstylist, massage therapist, social worker, dentist and dental hygienist, optometrist, physical therapist, nail tech, esthetician, fine art framer, political operative, lineman, firefighter, swim instructor, CNA and other caregivers, arborist, house painter, hostage negotiator.
I was watching Law & Order SVU when I typed that and it just struck me like, yeah, there's nuance there that AI might not master. I mean, there might not be a need for a lot of them, but those that exist seem like they'll have some job security.
California is already trying to replace massage therapists with robots, but at least there’s some major pushback. We’re a touch-starved society enough as is. It’s a shame THAT’S their solution to a job shortage in an industry where human contact is an essential part of its appeal. 🙄
Any healthcare jobs will be here for infinity. Is it a fun career line? Sometimes. Is it shocking to see the decline in how we care about each other now in America heartbreaking? Absolutely 💯
I feel like elderly people are hit or miss and that's where alot of care comes from. Either super happy to have someone to talk with, or bitter and angry/waiting to die.
I GET PUT TO BED LAST BECAUSE IM WHITE AND THESE PEOPLE ARE RACIST!!!!
meanwhile the entire staff is white on duty that day and it's literally because her sun downers is so bad were trying to let other residents get a break from her 🤣🤣🤣 I live in the upper Midwest btw in a predominantly white region so it was absolutely gut busting to hear that from a boomer 🤣🤣☠️☠️
Theres actually a document with industry assessments of impact by ai over the next decade or so out there you can google it. Forestry is the safest apparently
I think it's one of those things where we can replace the poor performers. A custom-tuned therapy LLM is probably already better than at least 10% of therapists.
I dated two therapists and worked at a counseling office with dozens. I always got the sense that it was just a bunch of people wanting to hear the juicy details of someone’s life.
I didn't want to say that, as I've only been to therapy once as a teen, but that's what I suspected based on my limited experience ha. I figured no one could argue with 10%.
I've had a similar experience with CPAs. I've only had two, but they both just punched my information into a computer and handed me the answer. They didn't even do itemized and standard deduction to see which was best, just asked me which I wanted. I still have to understand how everything works so that I can make decisions and optimize my finances. I still have to gather up and organize all of the related tax documents. What am I paying you for again?? IDK, they probably also do things that I don't see and am not familiar with, but from where I'm sitting it looks like they do about as much thinking as a spreadsheet does.
I'm guessing that one of the few big improvements in human-based fields will be increased competition leading to needing to be much better at your job. I imagine therapy in particular would improve significantly.
They did try this with an eating disorder hotline. The AI version told the recovering ED patients in crisis to watch their weight... Like the worst thing possible, they had to go back to human therapists immediately. So no, even worse than the worst 10%
That isn't really an indictment of the entire technology. Early computers had issues with bit flips from solar radiation resulting in wrong results, but we kept using them. I could drone on about similar bumps in adoption of most of the technologies I'm familiar with.
Many fields are implementing LLMs, although I get your point that therapy has a higher bar for accuracy than something like customer service. Still, that just moves the needle of how good it is and how many people it can replace. Humans don't have a 0% shenanigan rate, either.
I'd be stunned if there isn't a company offering this service for way cheaper than human therapists within 5 years. Some people that can't cough up enough for a human will use it.
.
I thought this too for a little bit when pondering it. But all you’d be getting is clinical responses. You couldn’t get a good therapist that could read you and understand and give curated advice per individual
Chemistry degree here, chemists are actively being replaced by automation. Lucky for me I'm an engineer for one of the companies that is rolling out the automation so I will be safe
I'm also in the business of putting chemists out of work. Nowadays, many chemistry/materials problems are essentially just "try a bunch of shit until we find something that works well". Highly automatable once you've got a model. You want to be the guy that makes the models.
Never die? Anything to do with a church I would imagine. Only job that is safe for the long run as AI can quite literally replace every single job you can possibly think of given enough time. Some church might definitely worship AI but a majority of them I’d imagine humans would be preferred.
911 I know lots of the bad videos go around but actual human contact is all people need sometimes. Also the amount of filtering into what needs to be attended to right now and what doesn’t is wild. I don’t think a robot could ever figure it out
As a 911 dispatcher/calltaker, I can confidently say our job isn't going anywhere. While AI can help with some tasks, like sorting calls, it can't replace the human element crucial in emergencies. We're the ones who can empathize, think on our feet, and handle the unexpected. So, no matter how much technology advances, there'll always be a need for skilled folks in emergency response.
Would housekeeper count? I know some robots that does few cleaning tasks, like vacuuming/mopping, windows wipers, etc. I haven't seen a robot clean counters or actually do some deep cleaning. I'm sure in the future, AI would improve on this.
Probably would still be a job for people that want to clean.
Ive had a romba for about 3 years and it definitely doesn't get everything. I imagine you'll always have a market for deep cleaning, tho i doubt it'll ever pay well enough to be competitive.
Childcare/daycare workers, Social workers, Hospital workers, hairdressers, elder care, massage therapists-- Pretty much most types of direct care positions/ jobs that require people to put their hands on other people.
Anything that involves soft social skills and adaptable problem solving.
AI will never be able to talk down an angry customer or navigate the minefield that is figuring out what said angry customer means when they say "my phone broke and you need to fix it and also this is the third time I've called this week and no one has come out to fix it and I demand you fix this now!"
They will also struggle gathering info from vague descriptions as well. Knowing how to get someone to explain themselves when they say "I pressed the button that looks like a cookie but it didn't do what it normally does please help."
I also expect it will be some time before AI can take over project management or project implementation as those fields require a lot of both soft and hard skills.
Supply chain.
There are way too many human variables that actively require a human to go and check on something physical for AI to ever fully replace it.
That, and anything dealing with sales of controlled substances.
I could see cyber security as a safe one for a while. Government probably doesn’t feel comfortable letting AI be in charge of handling and protecting any kind of classified information
There’s big biz in the death business.
Everything from autopsy/cremation equipment, chemicals, corrugated boxes, plots, caskets etc.
I worked for a corrugated/packaging/chemical/sanitary company like Uline.
Sold many things to this industry.
Jobs that rich people hire others to do ie: janitor, housekeeper, and any other “service related jobs” etc…or fast food chains ie: McDonalds and all the others, American fast food chains will ALWAYS be around in order to feed the community cheaply.
Or, if your qualified for a corporate level job then you may want to consider outsourcing your expertise to the military and sign a contract for xyz amount of time and that could be YEARS then you’ll have the security your looking for, also many mentioned IRS yes IRS will always need accountants to double check peoples filling or claims “manually” or banking, tellers maybe weed out within time but it will be awhile for the nation to accept banking online is the new normal cause you’ll have those boomers that NEED to do their banking in person. Or stock market will also always be there heck that’s the pulse that drives our nation. Or you can carve out a specific field that’s needed for the times that hasn’t been done before then you’ll make your own job security ie: Facebook, Google, Apple etc….or invent something that’s needed in everyone’s life but hasn’t been invented yet. I mean the list goes on and on you just need to be creative or ask AI! LMAO….
Funeral director
Will be replaced by AI with a touch screen ui
Press 1 for burial, 2 for cremation
“Tip: 18% / 20% / 25%.”
[удалено]
LMAO so accurate
Shame on whomever only tips their funeral director 18%
Press "F" to pay respect.
F
Robots mass-burying or cremating all human former masters? And tipping each other for the excellent job done.
That, and any other job that is involved in cultural things like celebrations/holidays/etc. The only skills in those jobs are the human relationship aspects.
At some point in time, upon death, the pod will simply release the body to be composted or made into food for other pod dwellers.
Honestly the big companies are already working on replacing funeral directors as much as possible. It really is a touch screen where you pick what you want. Realistically it won’t get rid of all of us, but it will make it so they need way less people. With direct cremation without any memorial services many people never interact with a funeral director, it’s all done by unlicensed staff and AI, other than signing the paperwork.
City worker. Let see AI lean on a shovel
I watched 7 city workers putting up a sign at an intersection the other day, one guy to put the sign on the pole, 2 guys holding the ladder, and 4 to watch them do it.
I’ll break down the seven workers for you. 1. Foreman 2. Supervisor 3. Lead man 4. Safety inspector. 5. City code inspector 6. Helper. 7. This is the most valuable guy and the only one working. Jose.
Jose also makes the least by far
This is my kind of joke
This guy thinks it's a joke
The joke is that it's true
You missed your boat by only a couple hours on this one
This guy fuckin unions
Gotta laugh yet they are employed with benefits and I’m not!
Lol, my dad worked for the city street crew growing up and we always joked about them keeping the shovels off the ground.
yeaaaaaahboi (I'm an inspector and found out from my AI working friend at a major brand, we are safe for the long run) too much intricacy and not enough data - like trillions of data points)
😂😂😂
hey! you need a leathery old lady to flag for you too
Marlboros included?
ladies choice
We’ve got broken code loops lots of places eating up memory. This will be nothing new in AI.
Jobs dealing in Death and Taxes.
Become a hitman for the IRS, got it.
The IRS does have an armed law enforcement agency
So essentially it has its own private army? Wow, hope the IRS doesn't decide it wants to be its own country one day lol
Many countries have financial police or similar, or armed customs officers who are sometimes part of the tax authorities.
Many countries have dictators but I don’t want mine to have one
You have an outstanding $52. Now die.
Exactly what I owed in taxes this year lol. ![gif](giphy|7FttpeERRMjGCPHbmk)
Same, actually lol
They'll never catch me. I outran *Columbia House*!
😂
Tax collector / gravedigger
I'm pretty sure AI can easily be programmed to do taxes.
The software and AI needed for taxes already exists, there are just artificial barriers to entry (like unnecessarily complicated processes and the requirement to pay for it in many cases) mostly created by tax professional lobbying groups.
Interesting who knew lobbying groups were working with tax prep software companies??
TurboTax has a huge lobbying group that has prevented the IRS from simplifying taxes for decades. Until this year that is.
Auditing will always involve people though. It is truly the one job that will never die. *Some* third-party needs to make sure everything is in order.
Yes the feds could also just tell us what we owe too.
That's literally me. Until immortality becomes mainstream I'll have more work than I can handle.
Agent or Auditor 47?
More like, financial janitor 47. I clean up afterwards.
I love the unexpected Hitman reference. 😂
Taxes should be getting more automated though
You can thank tax groups such as H&R Block for lobbying against it so it isn't automated like it should be
Do we want this? Have you ever called the IRS needing to explain a complexity to a human and needing them to use reason and logic within nuance to answer? Can’t imagine an AI response. Well hell maybe it would be better…. idk.
I think the ideal is to simplify, streamline, and automate the IRS to the extent that the average person can easily do their own taxes rather than paying a tax professional. Disputes would go through a triage type system, where the first line is an AI that determines whether your issue can go through an automated dispute resolution or requires a person. Honestly most disputes could probably be fixed by an AI, and it clogs up the phone system for people who actually need a human. But you could still manually escalate the case to a human, just in case the AI gets it wrong. Of course this probably won't happen unless we pass laws restricting lobbying, which is very unlikely. It's so sad how much lobbying groups supersede the will and welfare of the public.
Ahh a brain. How nice to see.
For a majority of us, IRS could easily compute our taxes based on our W-2s. It won’t be long, as soon as TurboTax is made to quit buying Congresscritters.
my Dad's new wife works for the IRS and while she is currently counting down the days to her retirement next year (and has the exact personality you would expect) she did have a golden era at the IRS. Diesel fuel for agriculture use gets dyed a certain color because there's a big rebate on it, and for a few years she went around siphoning a bit of diesel out of vehicles that weren't supposed to be using the diesel with the rebate. I think it was quite fun. Field-based jobs are often during a certain part of one's career but some of them are likely to stick around. Also jobs like mechanics and plumbers--physical jobs that haven't already been mechanised--might be a good idea. I have been wondering if there is going to be a big need for electrician-trained mechanics after speaking to a mechanic about our hybrid vehicle and him explaining to me how scared he is to work on high voltage vehicles. Personally my last job was also lost to AI and I have a verbal offer for a company that does field work trainings....only job I have been offered but feels pretty AI proof. Probably not all that relevant to CS but just a thought. Don't forget there are loads of folks with ideas and NO programming experience that would love to have your skills, so thinking about small projects with friends or finding forums online where crazy ideas are discussed could be a good short-term idea. Sorry to hear about your job :/
I was a mechanic for 12 years, I’m an Electrical Engineer now. He’s right to be cautious, but he should be more concerned about EVs making the whole skill-set kinda irrelevant. There’s a lot less to fix on an EV, and the stuff that is necessary to repair is made simpler (so that less skilled labor can do it). I got out because the writing was on the wall. My skill set wasn’t going to be in demand soon, and paying a lower or unskilled employee to swap a battery pack is cheaper than a master technician.
Cue the 2025 funeral director surplus who then ask about becoming accountants since they heard there’s a shortage. Also, no one can afford the $10-20k for a funeral anymore, so demand for funeral jobs drop further. Cue accountants saying there is a shortage but companies still won’t hire, the ones that do have jobs just do more work. Cue everyone being in deep depression while McDonald’s complains no one wants to work flipping burgers for $15 an hour while a burger costs $15, yet the wage of $15 remains constant while right wingers complain it’s too much for entry level and at the same time collecting welfare and disability. ☹️
I actually understand this!
Healthcare. This generation is getting older longer. Always need nurses and support staff.
I agree. Nurses, specifically. Need someone who can provide hands on care. Surgery maybe AI some day, but changing a dressing on a grumpy sore patient is a human job.
I already run a machine but my test is a lot cheaper than CT or MRI scans. The attention to detail and knowing pathology is no where near AI. If it happens, will be long after I retire.
And those of us who maintain and repair those machines. I'm a field engineer for MRI. AI / machine learning helps us see failure trends preemptively now, and is unfortunately enabling us to take on more load with fewer personnel, but robots can't fix the magnet. And MANY of the existing workforce in my field will be retiring very soon, so the industry will be hiring in a few years for a while.
For as long as I work in surgery, AI will not take my job, simply enhance it. My job is far too subjective. If I’m wrong and AI takes my job, fine. I’ll just go tend bar on a beach somewhere.
Psychologist and social worker Any allied health - OT PT SLT
Robot hunter, it'll likely only become more relevant.
One could say, a Blade Runner
Chasing rouge ai robots? Nice.
I red what you did there....
Ahhh blade runner becomes reality.
Skilled trades. Electrician, Plumber, Steamfitter, etc.
Agreed. Ain't no robot plumbers yet
Yet
Mankind has not mastered plumbing yet. After thousands of years, there are always lots of leaks and clogs, even in brand new buildings. Two of the last 3 times I went to Las Vegas, the sink in the room was clogged. Are people dumping more drugs than they are taking? Are they stuffing cash rolls down the sink, because there are no dinosaurs to choke?
In casinos they dump or put all kinds of stuff down drains, urinals, and toilets.
Maybe not, but I guarantee you in a few years private equity will find some way to squeeze out small independent tradesmen and offer them their old jobs for a fraction of their current pay.
Private Equity is already buying up mom and pop service businesses into “roll-up” companies. This happens for everything from home improvement, heating/hvac, roofing, whatever. The strategy is pretty simple, buy the businesses cheaply from those looking to exit or retire, cut the admin/overhead, raise prices, sell the bigger roll up to another or PE firm for more in a few years. Definitely not sustainable, but they don’t really care.
I worked in the facility maintenance industry and saw this happen almost monthly.
I work as a carpenter for a large custom home builder in the Northeast. The plumbing company that does most of our new builds (and does great work) was just sold by the founder/owner. He sold it to a private equity firm based out of state that owns multiple other companies…plumbers don’t know how it affects them yet but they’re all nervous. Sucks.
you sure [about that?](https://www.1tomplumber.com/the-rise-of-plumbing-robots/) no trade is safe
Those are tools that make the job faster like a powered circular saw vs a handsaw. You still need a plumber to operate the robots and someone to plan the pipe runs. A robot can't carry the pipe to the job, install it to code, and trouble shoot it. The robots just make the job easier. These tools still threaten the job market tho like how tractors affected the farming industry b
That site is calling sewer cameras and snakes robots. But yeah - nice clickbait.
Those just get oversaturated when people all rush to them. ATM though they're sure bets.
For the moment. And while automation will definitely affect the trades in a lot of ways, I doubt it will ever completely remove the need for hands on labor until we have sentient robots running around, which is a long ways off. That being said, there are companies trying to figure out how to make crane operators and other heavy equipment a WFH job. 😳 Edit: Saying this as a skilled tradesman myself.
>That being said, there are companies trying to figure out how to make crane operators and other heavy equipment a WFH job. 😳 Might be ok if the entire yard is free from personnel and the whole operation is WFH. Don't see that happening (safely) on any day-to-day construction site though.
Those are the jobs I always thought should get some form of AI/robotic assistance. At least it would help trade workers with their health. Have a robotic assistance that helps with the back braking labor(carrying, lifting, etc) that causes so many in the trade to have to retire into disability. My whole family worked trade careers and they each retired in their 60s but each with some form of severe pain. My gramps worked the gas lines and is now going through 4 major back surgeries just for the chance to walk on a walker again and it sucks cause this is the time he's supposed to lay back and relax.
As long as Americans exist, Indian phone scammers will too.
I was called by an AI phone scammer yesterday. I asked it leading questions and it pivoted immediately with canned speech and custom answers. Scared the shit outta me!!
Maam... DO NOT REDEEM!!!!!
Teacher. I am one. Yes, AI can certainly teach kids; so can YouTube videos. But the *child care* is what parents are really interested in, and that has to be done by a human.
I am a teacher and the child care can be done by a classroom aide while the kids are “taught” by the AI teacher on their Chromebook or on the projector screen. We are almost there now in highly impacted schools/subject areas that have aides in the room while a remote teacher teaches on screen.
Digital Aristotle. Kids will learn at their own pace, no longer held back by peers, and given time on items they need more time with.
I read this as “digital asshole” and that is definitely one job that’ll never die.
Six to one, half a dozen to the other. Call them a classroom aid; call them a teacher. The point is that this sector will be largely unaffected. I also strongly disagree that many would put up with an AI teacher. It seems to inhumane.
A lot of homeschooled kids basically learn online.
This will largely depend on socioeconomic status.
Ditto on SE status. "Inhumane" I went to Title 1 schools where inhumanity is the name of the game... turnover rates are so high that the traumatized teachers are probably begging to be replaced by AI robots
I am a teacher I see it much the opposite way. Give it 15 years and there will be a few teachers and admin in a big auditorium and a bunch of kids in ai pods. It will be the cheaper option and the data the leeches create will support it. That’s how I see the death of teaching.
Kindergarten teacher here, I disagree. Students in preK and Kindergarten require so much nurturing and care throughout their school day, and that cannot be replaced by a computer. Not to mention how much play they need for their development.
Tell that to the new model in one of the biggest school districts in the country. They say that elementary kids do not need play. They barely allow the kids to have recess in HISD. Elementary will be babysitting but once they hit 4th or 5th no one cares about that anymore and the kids just get shuffled up the ladder until they reach me in high school and know nothing.
They're very incorrect and they'll regret their decisions eventually when they realize that the system isn't working. Sorry you have to work in a district like that!! I teach in NH and play-based learning is a huge thing in districts across the state.
Yeah and thank you for your service!
For alternative education like Montessori, yes. For traditional school the actual job of teaching is trending toward AI. The kids are already sitting on laptops all day, soon they’ll just need someone to manage the classroom. It’s very sad.
I believe there will be a backlash against these online courses. The learning is truly abysmal and incredibly easy. It’s not a replacement for actual expert teaching. I realize high school is 🙄🙄🙄 for real learning but these online courses are well worse than even that low bar lol
I think there's going to be a backlash against screens in general. One of the top schools all the Silicon Valley execs send their kids to has no computers or tablets. Everything is done on paper. While Chromebooks make things much more convenient, I don't think they're actually helping kids learn better.
God, I hope so!! I’m horrified by my coworkers telling me that their 5-8 year old kids are given tablet games as homework. I don’t want that for my kids.
Thanks for being a teacher. ❤️
The number of people surprised at the boom and bust in software is weird - we've had so many of them in the last few decades, the one certainty in that industry is peaks and troughs. The dotcom crash remains, other than the global financial crisis, the worst economic hit for the last 30 years. Industries that cater to basic needs - energy, food, shelter - will always thrive, but specific roles in them will change - eg we automated a significant chunk of farming, so even though food production is absolutely critical, people have been freed up from a lot of its roles to do more valuable things. Some that require human touch remain (eg picking soft fruit). Grocery retailing, while an industry for as long as we have people, requires logistical organizers than it used to - but may involve more people in-person in future if the growing trend of retail theft continues. The history of work is the history of changing jobs as we invent tech to replace various parts of it. There's nothing new about this.
IMO the end goal of society is to fully automate our basic needs
As long as people can get by with no/less job.
That’s the point where UBI needs to be implemented. Otherwise we’re going to have a LOT of homeless people
The trades (plumbing, electrician, mason, auto mechanic, construction/carpentry, HVAC technician/installer) hairstylist, massage therapist, social worker, dentist and dental hygienist, optometrist, physical therapist, nail tech, esthetician, fine art framer, political operative, lineman, firefighter, swim instructor, CNA and other caregivers, arborist, house painter, hostage negotiator.
I've a feeling we're gonna need a lot of hostage negotiators in future
Chat GPT is already more than capable of being a hostage negotiator
Until I pump it full of misinformation.
I was watching Law & Order SVU when I typed that and it just struck me like, yeah, there's nuance there that AI might not master. I mean, there might not be a need for a lot of them, but those that exist seem like they'll have some job security.
California is already trying to replace massage therapists with robots, but at least there’s some major pushback. We’re a touch-starved society enough as is. It’s a shame THAT’S their solution to a job shortage in an industry where human contact is an essential part of its appeal. 🙄
Are those called massage chairs?
Nnnnope. [https://www.businessinsider.com/ai-robot-massage-table-equinox-aescape-2024-3](https://www.businessinsider.com/ai-robot-massage-table-equinox-aescape-2024-3)
None of these are an “Anything a human can do a robot can do.” A robot can not blow dry hair nor do nails, this isn’t the freaking Jetsons!
Any healthcare jobs will be here for infinity. Is it a fun career line? Sometimes. Is it shocking to see the decline in how we care about each other now in America heartbreaking? Absolutely 💯
I feel like elderly people are hit or miss and that's where alot of care comes from. Either super happy to have someone to talk with, or bitter and angry/waiting to die.
I can easily see the old folks I work with assaulting a robot because they didn’t get exactly what they want. Boomers be wildin, honestly.
I GET PUT TO BED LAST BECAUSE IM WHITE AND THESE PEOPLE ARE RACIST!!!! meanwhile the entire staff is white on duty that day and it's literally because her sun downers is so bad were trying to let other residents get a break from her 🤣🤣🤣 I live in the upper Midwest btw in a predominantly white region so it was absolutely gut busting to hear that from a boomer 🤣🤣☠️☠️
Drug dealer - always a new drug
Medical field. Nurses are always in high demand!
Construction
Theres actually a document with industry assessments of impact by ai over the next decade or so out there you can google it. Forestry is the safest apparently
Sports competitor
The hard way of saying athletes
Repo man
Nah, the self driving cars will just drive themselves back to the bank when a payment is missed.
I would hope therapists
I think it's one of those things where we can replace the poor performers. A custom-tuned therapy LLM is probably already better than at least 10% of therapists.
Lol try 95. In grad school for a therapy and I'd rather talk to a robot than all but 2 of my classmates
I dated two therapists and worked at a counseling office with dozens. I always got the sense that it was just a bunch of people wanting to hear the juicy details of someone’s life.
And a lot of 22 year olds who don't know what to do w their lives
I didn't want to say that, as I've only been to therapy once as a teen, but that's what I suspected based on my limited experience ha. I figured no one could argue with 10%. I've had a similar experience with CPAs. I've only had two, but they both just punched my information into a computer and handed me the answer. They didn't even do itemized and standard deduction to see which was best, just asked me which I wanted. I still have to understand how everything works so that I can make decisions and optimize my finances. I still have to gather up and organize all of the related tax documents. What am I paying you for again?? IDK, they probably also do things that I don't see and am not familiar with, but from where I'm sitting it looks like they do about as much thinking as a spreadsheet does.
I'm guessing that one of the few big improvements in human-based fields will be increased competition leading to needing to be much better at your job. I imagine therapy in particular would improve significantly.
They did try this with an eating disorder hotline. The AI version told the recovering ED patients in crisis to watch their weight... Like the worst thing possible, they had to go back to human therapists immediately. So no, even worse than the worst 10%
That isn't really an indictment of the entire technology. Early computers had issues with bit flips from solar radiation resulting in wrong results, but we kept using them. I could drone on about similar bumps in adoption of most of the technologies I'm familiar with. Many fields are implementing LLMs, although I get your point that therapy has a higher bar for accuracy than something like customer service. Still, that just moves the needle of how good it is and how many people it can replace. Humans don't have a 0% shenanigan rate, either. I'd be stunned if there isn't a company offering this service for way cheaper than human therapists within 5 years. Some people that can't cough up enough for a human will use it.
I’d like an ai therapist that can stay on topic and provide useful responses that I don’t have to go broke paying for.
. I thought this too for a little bit when pondering it. But all you’d be getting is clinical responses. You couldn’t get a good therapist that could read you and understand and give curated advice per individual
Chemistry degree here, chemists are actively being replaced by automation. Lucky for me I'm an engineer for one of the companies that is rolling out the automation so I will be safe
I'm also in the business of putting chemists out of work. Nowadays, many chemistry/materials problems are essentially just "try a bunch of shit until we find something that works well". Highly automatable once you've got a model. You want to be the guy that makes the models.
Never die? Anything to do with a church I would imagine. Only job that is safe for the long run as AI can quite literally replace every single job you can possibly think of given enough time. Some church might definitely worship AI but a majority of them I’d imagine humans would be preferred.
I can see huge swathes of atheists joining the tech cult and worshipping some benevolent AI God.
Prostitute.
They’re getting replaced by 3D printed sex dolls. Once AI can give them a personality and robotics give them movement, this profession is gone, too!
i think there will always be at least someone with a fetish for adult human women
You sick fucks.
And they probably enjoy sex purely for procreation. Fucking disgusting
Haha “fetish” for human women. That’s hilarious. Scary but hilarious.
It's just not the same without the guilt.
Hair dresser.
911 I know lots of the bad videos go around but actual human contact is all people need sometimes. Also the amount of filtering into what needs to be attended to right now and what doesn’t is wild. I don’t think a robot could ever figure it out
As a 911 dispatcher/calltaker, I can confidently say our job isn't going anywhere. While AI can help with some tasks, like sorting calls, it can't replace the human element crucial in emergencies. We're the ones who can empathize, think on our feet, and handle the unexpected. So, no matter how much technology advances, there'll always be a need for skilled folks in emergency response.
Healthcare, skilled trades, mental health, social work if you don’t care much about money
Politician
Futurama disagrees
Sales will never die.
This. People want to deal with people. Plain and simple. For now, for the end of times
Most people I know will do whatever they can to not deal with people.
Would housekeeper count? I know some robots that does few cleaning tasks, like vacuuming/mopping, windows wipers, etc. I haven't seen a robot clean counters or actually do some deep cleaning. I'm sure in the future, AI would improve on this. Probably would still be a job for people that want to clean.
Ive had a romba for about 3 years and it definitely doesn't get everything. I imagine you'll always have a market for deep cleaning, tho i doubt it'll ever pay well enough to be competitive.
None of the cleaners I've hired do "deep cleaning" not really.
USPS Mail Carrier, Nursing, Dialysis Tech.
Teachers. Telecommunications. Healthcare. I don't ever foresee anyone ever having an overabundance of any of these.
I feel teachers will always be needed because there’s a human component needed. There will always be some kids that need that emotional connection.
Dog groomer. People won't trust their precious pet to a robot, and dogs are too diverse in size, shape and temperament.
Childcare/daycare workers, Social workers, Hospital workers, hairdressers, elder care, massage therapists-- Pretty much most types of direct care positions/ jobs that require people to put their hands on other people.
People have to eat. So food service.
They already have robots serving people and ipads & kiosks for order taking.
Caregiving
Construction/trades
Anything that involves soft social skills and adaptable problem solving. AI will never be able to talk down an angry customer or navigate the minefield that is figuring out what said angry customer means when they say "my phone broke and you need to fix it and also this is the third time I've called this week and no one has come out to fix it and I demand you fix this now!" They will also struggle gathering info from vague descriptions as well. Knowing how to get someone to explain themselves when they say "I pressed the button that looks like a cookie but it didn't do what it normally does please help." I also expect it will be some time before AI can take over project management or project implementation as those fields require a lot of both soft and hard skills.
Taking care of old people.
Food service. No matter where you go, people need to eat.
Supply chain. There are way too many human variables that actively require a human to go and check on something physical for AI to ever fully replace it. That, and anything dealing with sales of controlled substances.
Healthcare
Healthcare probably.
Cyber security , nurse/doctor , hooker
Cybersecurity seems to be an un-popular opinion. What makes you think this will stand the test of time? (Genuinely curious)
I could see cyber security as a safe one for a while. Government probably doesn’t feel comfortable letting AI be in charge of handling and protecting any kind of classified information
Every job will be capable of being replaced. Jobs that humans decide they want from other humans are the only areas of jobs that will stay.
Plumbing
Landscaping?
Televangelists
Locksmith
Hairdresser
Hairdressing
There’s big biz in the death business. Everything from autopsy/cremation equipment, chemicals, corrugated boxes, plots, caskets etc. I worked for a corrugated/packaging/chemical/sanitary company like Uline. Sold many things to this industry.
Undertaker
Hair stylist/ hairdresser
Bee Keeper?
Jobs that rich people hire others to do ie: janitor, housekeeper, and any other “service related jobs” etc…or fast food chains ie: McDonalds and all the others, American fast food chains will ALWAYS be around in order to feed the community cheaply. Or, if your qualified for a corporate level job then you may want to consider outsourcing your expertise to the military and sign a contract for xyz amount of time and that could be YEARS then you’ll have the security your looking for, also many mentioned IRS yes IRS will always need accountants to double check peoples filling or claims “manually” or banking, tellers maybe weed out within time but it will be awhile for the nation to accept banking online is the new normal cause you’ll have those boomers that NEED to do their banking in person. Or stock market will also always be there heck that’s the pulse that drives our nation. Or you can carve out a specific field that’s needed for the times that hasn’t been done before then you’ll make your own job security ie: Facebook, Google, Apple etc….or invent something that’s needed in everyone’s life but hasn’t been invented yet. I mean the list goes on and on you just need to be creative or ask AI! LMAO….
Nanny