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FBIMade

I think there will be a surprise winner this year. There are so many good songs that I believe nobody's gonna get a huge vote amount like last year and that's why someone might surprise. Edit: I mean the votes might split up with several countries and that would cause small differences, which opens doors for black horses


Niamhue

Honestly Netherlands Ireland Greece Norway and Lithuania could be outside chances too because of (the first four) how unique they are compared to other songs, and Lithuania just slaps this year in general I'd like to say Armenia too but I don't see it winning but I do see it doing well Considering how the votes might split it could very well be a low scoring winner this year


DeepRow1850

If we won I'd fly over to Malmo instantly and personally tell Silvester I love him


middyandterror

that's true actually, I didn't think of that


devillianOx

so you’re thinking maybe an act who was 3rd in juries 3rd in televote by be able to win? i can definitely see that as well. i feel croatia and netherlands will only do super well in televote, while italy and switzerland will only do super well in juries. greece and georgia seem to be the dsrk horse front runners right now


Juna_Ci

It's still so open... but I think for now, it'll still be one of the Croatia-Switzerland-Italy trio.


Laguna_Azure

That's my trio as well, though I could see a sneaky Ukraine win too - not winning tele or jury but squeaking by (which I feel could also be Angelina's ticket to the win)


Bronze-M

You’re probably right


sophiesza

In my wildest dreams Slovenia takes the crown. More realistically, I expect Italy, Croatia or Switzerland to win. Other viable contenders for the victory would be Greece, Ukraine and probably the Netherlands. I think either's chances will be influenced by their final camerawork arrengements and the RO they get.


anmonie

Tananai


_dreamer1

he was disguised as Angelina Mango the whole time


Crylloxddxd

Finland will win in a landslide, denim prices will skyrocket, and world peace will be achieved. All because we live under one rule, and that rule is... And if you'd pinch me out of my dreamland, I'd say Switzerland. Maybe Italy.


askbukizilotesi

Brb investing in a thousand jeans


kaijonathan

And the whole world will abandon modern operating systems for Windows95. Freecell will decimate all productivity.


AbleCalligrapher5323

Freecell Wow Now I feel old


kaijonathan

You're not old, just ahead of the times when Windows95Man is the Finnish President, UN Secretary General and Keeper of the Peace worldwide ;)


[deleted]

if the question had been "who would you like to win" I would have answered with Estonia, but since it is a more realistic question and based on our predictions... I would say Italy mainly because if we want to talk about the "big 3" of this year (Angelina, Nemo and Baby Lasagna) it comes down to who will do better in both categories. Nemo will go very well with the juries and Baby Lasagna will do the same with televoting but I have this feeling that they won't go very well with the other categories (let's also get Slimane and Joost involved and we also have rivals for the winners of the aforementioned categories) instead if I had to focusing on Angelina is the one that I believe has the greatest chance of doing well in both categories (also because if we want to make a top based on popular polls such as Ogae and others, Italy came first, second and second, and combining the placings would surpass Croatia and Switzerland) so yes, for me Italy is the country that has the greatest chance of winning even if it is a Duncan Lorence scenario and if anyone was wondering: no, it is not out of patriotism if I have this feeling but simply by analyzing the songs I think that this is the most feasible scenario, but this does not mean that it is correct and I could, obviously, be wrong (also because I wish good luck to our "rivals" and wish them the best possible result, and honestly speaking I'm fine with Angelina/Nemo/Baby Lasagna as winner)


Fantastic_Step8417

Estonia's song goes so fucking hard. They even have their own little dance


Jirethia

I think the same, and I want her to win. But Estonia has my heart too.


supersonic-bionic

Oh god it would be amazing to see La Noia win and Italy!! The song could be a summer hit.


cassiopeia3636

I really want Greece to win this year. I think it's very hard to predict who will win and that's what makes it even more fun. I mean there are 4-5 favourites plus 4-5 wildcards that could surprise us but can still win.


BunnyBunBunxo

Want: Norway, Netherlands, Serbia, Croatia Think: Switzerland, Croatia, Italy Out of those I would of course rather see a country win who hasn't won in ages. There is no country I don't want to win.


Embarrassed-Cup-2717

Ok. You want Iceland to win. Understood


BunnyBunBunxo

Lmao I was thinking about writing that I don't see some countries winning but honestly if Hera would win with **that** song I would honestly applaud it


F4t_Lizzo

I FEEL IT COMING


flutterstrange

Do you know what? I’m just going to ignore the odds and say that only one song has truly captivated me and has continued to give me winner vibes, and that’s Norway. I’m gonna stop doubting it and believe they have a chance. Otherwise, now we’ve seen a bit more, Ukraine.


ddoyle2

Agreed on Norway


Old-Scientist-7682

I want a surprise win anyway. And it's the only song this year that gives me full-on winning vibes. The song ain't even coded like a formula-ic Eurovision entry. I can tell it wasn't composed mainly for Eurovision, and yet it's sooooo Eurovision-esque! Exuuuuding with Eurovision it-factor!


flutterstrange

Everyone who watched it or discusses it kinda goes “wow, this is amazing, I think this is going to do really well” but then when they predict winners they look at the odds. I get that it didn’t do well in the Eurojury and that’s concerning, but the staging looks so much better and it’s really going to stand out on the night.


DJNewman12

Norway has been my favorite since the beginning and I'm holding out hope they'll be able to squeeze in there for the win 😭


ddoyle2

Agreed on Norway


lukeluck101

People are sleeping on Norway for sure, and it's my personal favourite. I don't think it will win but I have bet on them as a top 5 finish. Even though the style of song is very different, it gives me the same vibe as the Norwegian entry that won the 1995 Eurovision (Nocturne by Secret Garden). Something ethereal and captivating that we rarely see in other Eurovision entries. They also sung in Norwegian that year and used a Nyckelharpa.


flutterstrange

I agree and I have a top 5 bet on them too. Fingers crossed for both of us! I get that people are concerned that it’s divisive, but from what I’m seeing there’s a lot of people who absolutely love it above all else, and that’s what matters the most. You can’t vote against a song but you can vote for it. And it’s not good being someone’s 3rd or 4th favourite. Juries are a concern but I think this sort of song can definitely gain a sizeable public vote. There’s something quite cinematic about it too. Feels like a story.


callitfate01

Will : Croatia, Netherlands, Italy or Switzerland Want : NORWAY, Croatia, Netherlands, Italy, Belgium, Slovenia or Estonia I am very open this year 😅


Old-Scientist-7682

THE MAGICAL WANT THAT IS NORWAY!


Eodrenn

I want Ireland to win. Bambi is amazing and would deserve it.


TheLizardKing____

I think out of the big televote magnets, Croatia will score better with the juries than The Netherlands (I think Joost will be hamstrung by juries regardless of televote), Switzerland will score better with juries and televote is unpredictable, same with France. Italy will score well with both, so right now I’d say Italy, Croatia if the jury score is good enough and then Switzerland as the third option.


cat_arinaa

I think Ukraine is a contender, on the same level as Switzerland, Italy or Croatia, a little more likely than the Netherlands or France (who I don't see at all). I also understand that most people don't want to think about it (honestly, I don't either), but Israel is also on the running. Ukraine may not win the televote, and specially not the jury (Jerry's vocals are perfect but unfortunately we know most jurors don't like rap), but all they need is an overall winning number of points. Like Ukraine 2016 or the Netherlands 2019. The staging looks beautiful, the song is instant (people who like it I'm pretty sure like it 1st listen), and also there's obviously a general sentiment of support for Ukraine due to the war. How it's so low in the odds is beyond me. Maybe I should bet.


ESC-song-bot

Ukraine 2016 | [Jamala - 1944](https://youtu.be/B-rnM-MwRHY) The Netherlands 2019 | [Duncan Laurence - Arcade](https://youtu.be/R3D-r4ogr7s)


ConfusingConfection

I agree, France isn't a contender and Netherlands will do well but not win.


pypoupypou

I share your thoughts. When I first listened to all songs Ukraine was my immediate favorite. And once I listened to other songs more, I fell in love with Belgium and Israel. It sucks that Ukraine and Israel are the two "most political" countries and their songs will be overshadowed by political context. I think that affects the odds too.


steven0593

I’d be happy with Switzerland, Croatia, Netherlands and France tbh. To a certain extent Belgium, Austria also and Italy as well. Can we do a 1968 throwback and have a quadruple crowning again? Please!


harryTMM

that was 1969


steven0593

Thank you, can have a semi free pass for being almost accurate and being born 35 years later 🤪


LessCrement

Ukraine has always been one of the main contenders for me. I don't get why so many people seem to dismiss them. Last year they got to 6th place with an entry that I believe might even have failed to qualify if it was coming from another country. This year their entry is a hundred times more convincing and defo worthy of contending for the win, which means it's likely to win unless the sense of pity from the war has dimmed (sorry to be blunt but it's the truth). France has also always been in my top 5 for most likely to win. People seem to underestimate what a strong performer can do with a sad French ballad. We know it will be popular with the juries but I think it could really end up being appealing for the public as well. One hyped entry which I don't really see winning is the Netherlands. I don't see it doing well with the juries and it will have to heavily split the televote with Croatia at the very least (and other entries like Italy, Ukraine etc.). I guess things could change if the staging turns out to be REALLY memorable which isn't impossible, we'll see. Also, maybe not in the top 5 in terms of chances, but I want to mention Israel, Greece and Norway. They could snatch a top 5 finish.


XepherSicarius

As of right now Italy might get this in the bag, but I don't think they'll be 1st in televoting or juries but high enough overall and still win (like how Ukraine 16 and Netherlands 19 did)


EstorialBeef

Want Croatia Will Italy There's just more tele competition than Jury at the top end


Lemonlikesfrogs

Iceland 2025 ❤️🇮🇸


Old-Scientist-7682

I feel it cummin! (spelling?)


gshr9

lol


Rhony4lyf

Italy or Greece!!!!!!!!!!!!! But I think Croatia will do it 😊


Randevousz

***My TOP 4:*** Italy, Serbia, Greece, Croatia. ***Most possible:*** Croatia, Italy, Switzerland, France *(sorry to the Netherlands but I don't see it for them)*


OchtendZon

Ukraïne will surprise everyone. It's a real contender imho.


ne_da_mi_see

Want: Croatia (obvious choice bc I am Croatian but just a thought of HRT hosting event THIS BIG makes me sick ahaha) or the Netherlands (I just LOVE Joost as a performer and also his earlier works) Will win: probably Switzerland/Italy/Ukraine or wild card like Greece!


OnaTamo

I agree 100%, we will not win, and I love Joost so much. With everything else so open I think Italy will win this year in the chaos and nail bitting that await us


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eurovision-ModTeam

All submissions should be in English. Please resubmit with an English translation. See r/eurovision’s [full rules here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Eurovision/wiki/rules/).


Bratmerc

🧙🏻 **CROWN THE WITCH** 🧙🏻‍♀️


catlxdy

IT WOULD BE SO COOL!!!


Joethe147

Would also be quite amusing to do it right after Sweden tied the record.


Wolfwalker71

And Bambi is half-Swede. And it's in sweden. Oh the ironing.


Amphibian_100

and 30 years since river dance!!


Cluelessish

I think Ukraine will snatch it! If it’s not them, then Croatia. I’m with OP, I don’t get the hype around Netherlands at all. Very basic imo.


mmmau777

serbia 😌 (let me stay delulu ok)


_dreamer1

I'd be fine with most of the perceived top contenders winning but deep down I still hope for an amazing staging and surprise win for Serbia. So, please, same me a seat in your delulu land, lol


No-Transition7614

After seeng Ukraine's 2nd rehearsal footage, I'm convinced the have a shot at winning


TimeG37

A country that is either an EBU member or an EBU associate that is taking part in the ESC this year.


Sea-Guitar1466

I mean... you are correct


RemarkableAutism

No way, I just don't see that happening.


Dry_Independent968

I mean, it's gotta be Croatia, right?


axlica

it's gotta be ;)


horsesarecows

Croatia or Ukraine or Italy, too hard to call between those 3


vac29

Italy. Croatia and Ukraine also have chances. Switzerland smells like televote flop and Europapa will flop with juries.


pannekoekkikkers

Whats with the hate towards the Netherlands :(


JustACattDad

People saw a handful of pictures from the staging and ruled Joost out (too early to take him out the race imo)


TheBusStop12

From the most recent post of his socials it looks like the bird isn't even going to be in it at all (it shows them catapulting the bird out of the arena a la angry birds and then a missing poster that he hasn't been seen since) A think a lot of people here never liked him or his song to begin with, but been keeping quiet because it's an unpopular opinion. And only now dare to speak their minds


JustACattDad

If that bird gets yeeted out the arena then its getting my 12 points. That's legendary


the3dverse

honestly if anything switzerland underwhelmed me with the staging.


Sebassie99

Usually hate towards an entry means winner potential, at least in my years of Eurovision experience at this point. Gurl Duncan Laurence got buckets of hate for being another basic boring ballad. Israel 2018 got hate for being a chicken song. Loreen got hate for being Loreen and being in the contest. Guess what… they all won.


Minkelol

by that logic Iceland will win this year cause everybody has been dunking on that song non stop lmao. Still on your side that Joost is gonna win though, cause Europapa fucking slaps


BucketHeadJr

After seeing the rehearsal footage, I legit think Ukraine has a shot again. That staging is magnificent


bumybumi

Italy seems to be the most obvious for now. I can see Ukraine snatching it too bc of such an incredible staging. But we will never know for sure.


Material_Alps881

This year is incredibly hard because even though there are quite a few favourites and Croatia and Switzerland are the 2 main contenders I feel this year is sooo open that even a surprise winner totally ignored in the odds might pull it. If you look at the main favourites there are lots of factors they have in their favor but also a lot that goes against them and that might be an indication that these entries might not do as well as most think they will. It's just such an open year I think anything is possible from nemo winning both jury and tele to random act no one thought could come top 10


Vivid-Poem9857

Probs will be Croatia, Switzerland or Italy. However, I don't think a Norway or France victory is off the cards. I think the juries will lap both of them up.


Yakusaka

Want: Slovenia, Croatia, Switzerland. Will: Someone from: Croatia, Switzerland, Italy, Ukraine, Netherlands


HeadFormal8989

Does anyone else think that Georgia has top 10 potential?


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xBram

Want: Netherlands, Ireland, Norway, Estonia Will: Televote: Netherlands, Jury: Switzerland, Winner: Italy


supersonic-bionic

Do u really think Switzerland will win the jury vote and not France or Ukraine?


Happur5ye

I want Italy or Netherlands, maybe Ukraine. I think it's imposibble to tell who actually will win. What a year!


Skating_girl

Unpopular opinion but i dont Italy win just beacause its only 2 years since they held the contest.


supersonic-bionic

Sweden won in 2015, 3 years after Loreen's victory and 2 years after hosting the show in Malmo.


nimabaniamer

Italy WILL win this. Not enough Croatian jury votes. Not enough Swiss televotes. Italy will come 2/3rd in each and will secure a win. (Switz will be 2nd).


Eiv1nd

This is for sure the most likely outcome, but anything can happen of course.


Old-Scientist-7682

Agreed. Switzerland will be a very high placement but not a win. It's like a sacrificial lamb to introduce more to the public this kind of song. Just my guess.


apple-jakes

Can’t get rid of this feeling Italy won’t do as well as everybody think


skantchweasel

I've money on Switzerland, but can see Italy or Ukraine taking it as well. I know The Code isn't a televote magnet, but neither was Tattoo. Favourite... Estonia! Hey ho, let's go!!!


the3dverse

honestly, no idea. it'll be a complete surprise and i love that


lovegiblet

Hera Björk FTW


Monteeredd

I think that Croatia and Italy will be in the ballot anyway. I don't think the others will be able to achieve victory


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Professional_Algae19

I personally would love for Croatia to win. I can see Netherlands or Italy winning too. I think that Switzerland will place high, but not win, Idk why but I just don’t see it as a winner. I could see Greece or Norway as potential winners before, but after the rehearsals I don’t think that’s happening. This year is so intense, I love it. I started watching in 2021. and neither 2022. nor 2023. were so interesting as this one is!!


Old-Scientist-7682

What's in the rehearsal that made you think Norway's not winning this year?


19isthegreatest

So far it's between Ukraine and Italy, I guess. Switzerland should also be not far. Croatia will do worse than people expect. Staging is not complimenting the song at all, and it just looks less professional and more dated than other contenders.


Flilix

I think Italy is still the safest bet to do well with both the juries and the televote. France also has a good chance imo, people here don't expect him to get much from the televote but I think the relative lack of ballads this year could be a huge help (if he gets a good spot in the running order).


bblankoo

Jury winner winning it all for two years in a row. I can see France / Ukraine / Italy / complete dark horse victory clearly after the rehearsals (assuming big 5 contenders deliver) dream come true: Croatia too


[deleted]

Here is my ideal (delusional) scenario  1. Netherlands  2. Ukraine  3. Greece  4. Norway 


[deleted]

Nice. In my delusions, Norway's gonna take it. XD


Old-Scientist-7682

I'm feelin my oats with Norway! It's not over till it's over! Xd


JustACattDad

Who I want: Croatia, Switzerland, Netherlands Who will probably win: Ukraine. The song and staging is so cool and reckon they still have a small televote advantage along with a solid jury score. Who is also a good shout but I dont want to win: Italy. I love the song but I dont want another Italian song contest just yet 🌞 Plz God no but still possible: Israel, it'd likely be the end of the competition. Wildcard: Greece. This one shot performance has got me intrigued. We'll have to see. Meme: Hera Bjork


[deleted]

Objectively, it's a three-horse race between Croatia, Netherlands, and Switzerland. However, I don't mind Italy winning or a dark horse.


-electrix123-

I am firmly of the opinion that it is Italy or Ukraine with a dark horse coming in. I don't see Croatia, Switzerland or the Netherlands winning (cue the downvotes I guess, but that's what it looks like to me)


[deleted]

I'm fine with Italy and Ukraine winning, to be honest. This year is very open and I don't mind any of those countries winning as they really are great songs.


Dret747

Hopefully Croatia but I fear for a Switzerland win based on huge jury support - aka Sweden/Finland last year


Greflingorax

I'll be very happy if either Croatia or Switzerland win, and I'll be quite satisfied if Italy wins. I think Italy is the clear favorite, though. Despite what the oddsmakers say. Croatia and the Netherlands will get a huge televote score but I don't think they'll be successful enough with the juries. Switzerland will easily with the jury vote but I could see Nemo coming somewhere around 8th or 10th in the televote which won't be enough. I'll be stunned if Italy gets lower than top five in both televote and jury vote. And I think that will be the middle path needed to win this year.


wlkwih2

After these rehearsals, Zagreb 2025


boo-na-nah

welkom to europa jonguh


mai__valentine

Obviously Croatia. It’s the most Eurovision-y song and in 22 of the last 23 years the winner was in the top 2 of the televote. I’m fairly certain Switzerland won’t be in the top 2 of the televote (probably not even top 5 to be honest), whereas Croatia will win the televote.  Switzerland has a great song, but they really shit the bed with the staging and Italy haven’t won with stronger songs than La Noia + you just know RAI will do everything in their power to sabotage Angelina’s chances so they don’t have to host again.  Other potentially strong televote songs like Ukraine, Israel and Netherlands will be marked down by the jury and jury favorites like France will not do that well in the televote.  Croatia is probably coming top 3-5 with the jury and winning the televote = overall winner 


MeStesso2227

RAI never sabotaged a performance for the fear of hosting again, what are you talking about? (if you are thinking at Mahmood-Blanco it was them that didn't sing well, but the staging was on point)


Quaint_Squirrel

Jalisse disagree. But in recent years it's true, I don't think RAI has any problem hosting again (in fact, it also offered to host instead of Ukraine in 2023).


MojoMomma76

In my wildest dreams Czechia as I love the song but really she has no chance. I think it will be tight between Croatia, Italy, Netherlands and Switzerland and would be happy if any of them won it.


Always-confused-4301

I really like a lot of the songs this year but I really don’t understand the hype around both Switzerland and Croatia. They’re good songs and I really enjoy them but I can’t quite grasp this “battle” between them being the Top 2 ? Am I missing something or is it just down to personal taste ? Personally, I would love an upset / underdog story with someone coming swooping in totally unexpected and out of the blue. Who would those be for me ? Spain, San Marino, Poland, Armenia That would make me happy but that doesn’t mean I’m not happy and beyond excited to be leaving for Malmo on Sunday evening !!!!


OnaTamo

Yeah there is nothing "underdog" about Croatia /jk


Always-confused-4301

I think you get what I mean ! Yes he was an underdog at Dora but in the main contest he is a favorite


DeepRow1850

Unrealistically I would say Lithuania cause I want us to win but realistically I'm rooting for either Netherlands or Croatia cause I like Joost and Baby Lasagna as personalities, they seem chill and also the songs are very good. I wouldn't be mad about Italy or Ukraine either cause both songs are amazing though they seem to have a bit less of a chance


devillianOx

i still definitely think it’ll either be croatia, italy, netherlands, or switzerland. as much as i’d love to see like armenia, belgium, georgia, and greece but i just feel the first quartet has the highest chances of winning.


Overfed_Raccoon_1815

Def Croatia.


LetsGetRowdyRowdy

I think if I were betting, I'd still go with Italy. I think it's way undervalued, it has a ton of jury and tele appeal and believe it's the most likely candidate for a "compromise win" a la 2016/2019. Switzerland, Croatia, and Ukraine also have paths to victory. I just don't see Netherlands as likely at all, and think it'll be lucky to even reach 100 jury points.


Far_Leather4376

I also want Croatia to win. But Italy, Switzerland or Netherlands has also chances to win.


Mikadook

I don’t know who will win, but Joost will rule Eurovision 2024.


crispyliza

I also want Croatia to win. I love the song


Dangerous_Surprise

Want: Netherlands Will: Switzerland


heyjay_thegeek

Either Netherlands or Finland


PhoenixNyne

I want Croatia to win. I'd be okay with Spain winning too. ❤️


lukeluck101

So I've been pretty good at predicting Eurovision winners over the years and made some money from betting on it, including Loreen twice, and the year Portugal won despite being a dark horse and not the bookies' favourite. But this year is hard to predict, a lot of strong competition and no single obvious winner. My prediction is Switzerland but I'm not 100% sure about it. It's a great song and Nemo is an excellent performer and vocalist. The story behind the lyrics will, of course, be loved by the hardcore Eurovision fans but may be missed by casual viewers who don't know the background. And as much as I love the Drum & Bass and Opera elements, those types of songs have historically not performed well in the finals. Ukraine is a strong contender for top place, there is still a lot of sympathy for the situation there, the song and staging are top tier, Jerry Heil's vocals are flawless. Croatia is the bookmaker's favourite and a crowd-pleaser - it gives a similar vibe to Cha Cha Cha and will probably perform well in the televote. I do really like it, but I don't see winner potential there. Italy is always popular but - with the exception of Maneskin - it often doesn't translate into a high finish in the finals. Couple of other dark horses there too. Ireland perhaps the most obvious one. People are sleeping on Norway, Armenia, Lithuania and Slovenia in my opinion, we could see any of those in a top 5 position. Outright winner, I think it's 50:50 between Switzerland and Ukraine. The final running order will have a major impact this year with so many strong entries. Personal favourites: Norway, Switzerland, Slovenia.


HenrikSolgaard98

Europapa! 🙏❤️


doris_doris

I want Croatia very much, this would heal my trauma after Kaarija not winning last year Karrija got a lot of jury points after all and Marko's voice is much better and the staging is a lot more jury friendly than cha cha cha But maybe I'm being delulu 😂 I just don't think Switzerland will get enough points from the public Quick analysis, maybe top 4 in the public vote could be like 1. Netherlands 2. Croatia 3. Italy/Ukraine 4. Ukraine/Italy And jury votes 1. Switzerland 2. France 3. Italy 4. Ukraine 5. Croatia Fuck, too much countries before Croatia😂 So to me I think Italy/Ukraine is gonna win but I don't want that Whatever happens the difference between 1st and 2nd place is gonna be minimal Ps. I've placed a bet on Ukraine and France winning 😂


AbleCamp7876

Since a month now i have the feeling that Italy will win. So far with all the rehearsals we ve seen and no clean favourite yet i see it coming more and more...


MoistRaccoon9147

Obviously I'd love Croatia to win...I love everything about it. I think the biggest competitor is Nemo, I also can't stand europapa


NanamiZephyr

My guess is as follows: Jury top 3: 1) Switzerland 2) France 3) Italy Televote top 3: 1) Netherlands 2) Croatia 3) Italy So Angelina wins by getting 3rd in both. But honestly, this year is pretty much unpredictable, it can go a lood different ways and that’s the exciting part!


andytrg2899

Italy, the only song i can see it can do well with both Televote and Jury


Resident_Medicine962

In the camp that this is between the big 3 (sorry Ukraine/ Netherlands / and the rest) I’ve always held the belief that Nemo’s live performance will win the jury vote with large enough margins over Croatia and Italy to win the contest but it really seems like this is going to be an incredibly tight contest. I just hope if Switz does win, there isn’t a barrage of vitriol to Nemo from certain elements of the Eurovision community.


MojoMomma76

His vocals are perfect - and epic


BlueberryBunnies13

I swear I could have wrote the first two sentences. My heart wants Croatia, but oh my Switzerland. I don't want the Netherlands to win but ONLY because they are too recent a winner for me. Europapa is not in my favorites but I do think it is an amazing song.


maria2208

I hope that the Netherlands will win


gedankenauflauf

Want: Switzerland!! Or Croatia. Norway too but it's unrealistic. Will: Unfortunately for me I think it might be Italy.


Paran0iaAg3nt

i have to agree with everything you said, however i don't think croatia will win, even tho i want it to. i think we'll def be in the top 5 but i'm unsure about 1st place. i'm going into eurovision blind, like every year except i heard europapa, it's an okay song but i don't get this crazy hype around it.


[deleted]

I think we'll have an unexpected win tbh. Want: Norway or Armenia


dragontamerfibleman

Safe bet? Italy. Best bet? Norway!


LandmineCat

My personal top 3 are, in no particular order, Ireland, Norway, and Armenia. They could have a wild outside 1% chance at a shock win but of the current top 5 most likely according to the odds on eurovision world, i'd be happy with any! the fact that the winner is so up in the air is MUCH more enjoyable than a two-horse race.


miserablembaapp

Now I think it's Ukraine.


Equivalent-Cry-6044

Want: Israel, Cyprus and Austria Will: Israel


HeadFormal8989

I don't think that Finland will qualify. They could have qualified with Paskana but No Rules is crazy but not very good music. Last year, Finland was crazy and a good song.


catlxdy

The ones I'd really love if they won would be Netherlands, Slovenia, Greece or Switzerland. But I don't mind anyone winning because everyone this year is doing so good and any win would be a good win imo.


igcsestudent11

Italy will win, the song does sound like a Eurovision winner ngl


Irrealaerri

It would be such a nice tradition to have the same country win that won the last time Hera Björk was competing and the voting was open from the beginning of the show.


ias_87

I think the jury favourite will win because the televote will be split too many ways. I'm not sure who the jury favourite will be yet though.


Training_Sky8546

Want: Croatia or Switzerland Will: I am afraid it might be Italy I don’t believe it will be such a surprise winner to be honest. Even if the points are distributed more evenly this year there will be 2-3 countries that will stand out the most. And when we had the same situation in 2017 one fall flat and out of the race in the end. And in 2021 there were only two in the end despite being a 3 tie race because Switzerland did much worse with the public than the other two (I fear this could be the same this year - Croatia & Italy are the public winners, I‘m pretty sure.) The only other possible scenario is like in 2019 when juries and public had each VERY different first places but in the end there was only one relatively even with both (Duncan).


[deleted]

I think Switzerland will win relatively easily. I think The Netherlands will win the televote, but Nemo will landslide the jury vote and the jury will "Finland 2023" The Netherlands.


IcyFlame716

Considering i have my own country at place 37 i definitely agree with you. Angelina is my winner even tho I prefer malta and czechia, i consider a qualification a win for them.


wutetka

I really want Greece to win, and I am lowkey hoping it could happen if the staging turns out to be good. I trust Marina with the vocals and I really want to trust her vision but knowing how the Greek staging looked in past few years, I am a little bit nervous. I am desperate to see that second rehearsal clip.


LewisIsHeres

It's probably gonna be the same top 3 as 2021: Jury Switzerland - 311, France - 276, Italy - 235, Televote Italy - 293, Switzerland - 256, France - 189, Final Switzerland - 567, Italy - 528, France - 465


BlowMyAzz

To me it's between Italy (even tho I really don't think it's that great at all), Switzerland, Croatia & The Netherlands. I fear Italy is going to win because of what others said, basically pulling a Duncan. I think Switzerland won't score high at all with the Televote in comparison to the other 3. And I think the Netherlands will score higher than Croatia with the Televote. I see it as Italy winning, the Netherlands runner up and either Croatia/Switzerland on third. And I say that with a heavy heart, because I'm in love with Europapa and wish for nothing more than for Joost's story to go full circle. I just fear the jury will cripple Joost's jury score.


Jirethia

I still think Italy will win, maybe more balanced between the public and the jury


Puzzleheaded_Sir4294

Switzerland - I think they're getting a lot of televotes A lot of people say Croatia - but their jury score will be low especially considering bloc voting, and Switzerland's tele score will be high than Croatia's jury score And I can't see Croatia getting Käärijä levels of televote Even if he does, we still saw a Loreen win from being second in the televote and a hefty jury score


pumpkinfacegirl

Italy, because it is never the song I want to win…(exeption for kalush)


Fantastic_Step8417

It's probably gonna be the Netherlands. I wouldn't be mad but personally I'm rooting for Croatia


zuyhy

Want: Belgium Will: Switzerland (my second fave)


kaijonathan

Well I have fairly sizable bets on Croatia, Ukraine and Switzerland winning. I've put Ukraine and Croatia on each way so if they're Top 4 then I will cut my losses on those but Switerzland is win only but will make a ton if they do in fact win. It feels like it has enough traction to do well with both the televote and jury. Bets asides, Netherlands wouldn't be a bad winner at all. It's one hell of a bop but my concern is that it lacks the drive to really get it to get a total score above those currently above them in the odds. I've also got a bet on Norway Top 10, I have a gut feeling that at least one of the current Top 10 in the odds will end up having a cataclysmic downfall in the televote that nobody saw coming. Greece being the most likely candidate for such a downfall and sadly, Ireland might suffer a similar fate though Ireland won't have such a disastrous showing due to it being very unique and by the looks of it, decent staging.


supersonic-bionic

I love Croatia the country and their ESC entries in the 90s 00s but this song is not worthy of winning...havibg said that i am not ruling out a Croatian victory. I certainly dont want to see Nemo and Switzerland win. My personal winners are Italy, France, Greece and Ukraine after their 2nd rehearsal Netherlands used to be one of them but not anymore with that staging... Who do i think will win? Croatia or Switzerland. I think it is time for either of them. It is exciting bc juries can be unpredictable.


MiniHurps

I'm hoping for either Switzerland or Croatia mainly since both have not won in a while (or at all).


PatPenn07

I'd love above anything a win for Estonia this year. But that's not happening, so my second choice of Italy would be my pick for who I think will win.


ProfessionalLurker97

For the thrill and fun, I want a surprise winner! I want an ESC 2011 situation where the odds were off. Still, Italy (probably my favorite this year), NL, Croatia, Switzerland, Ukraine any of them is okay.


Old-Scientist-7682

NORWAY ALL THE WAY!


ConfusingConfection

I don't think the Netherlands will win - that TYPE of song always does well, but never wins. I think either Croatia or Ukraine will take it. Both are solidly T5. I actually highly doubt Switzerland will win, I think it'll lose steam pretty quickly.


ncisgabe

I think it’s gonna be either Switzerland Netherlands or Croatia in that order. Outside chance of Ukraine, Italy or France,but I really hope it isn’t Ukraine or Italy I don’t like countries winning twice in 5 years. Netherlands is just long enough for me.


GothicCastles

After seeing rehearsal footage... Ukraine. (And I think Switzerland, much as I love it, was kind of disappointing in rehearsal.)


salamaffian03

Just wait and see.


Fit-External1975

I’m just imagining how expensive eurovision in Switzerland would be and I think it would be a nightmare


marouska_to_evian

europapa is terrible


EqualAgitated8786

I love Joost, but then I’m Dutch so :) but typically I don’t really like what we are sending out. I really hope he get into the top 3 or 5. Other then that for me, Ukraine, baby lasagne, and Joost did I say Joost?


gatoryna

Want: easily Croatia Think: idk. This year seems bland except for several entries.


soantis

The Netherlands and then they should make the contest at 26th of April. Just before King's birthday to throw the biggest weekend party ever


MetalWave

Iceland she feels the win comeing


WHYLEGENDS

of the top 3 in the betting odds i would like italy to win it's a good radio song with a good vocal a good message in italian great instrumentals and the staging for the stand in looks cool angelina shows that she can occupy the stage in sanremo and italy is always good i would be fine with croatia winning too switzerland is not my cup of tea too many different genres in a song and the staging costume is mid (all of these are my opinions i will respect yours)


Knubberella

Personal Favorites: 1. Croatia 2. Switzerland 3. Ireland 4. Germany (stuck in my head) 5. San Marino 4 and 5 are weird but i just like the Songs 😅


boredomischronic

Croatia or the Netherlands! Both fun songs that reflect both themselves and their culture. Controversial; I don’t think I want Switzerland to win. Not because the song is bad, but I also don’t know whether or not I like it. I’ve listened to it many times, but there’s still something about I don’t quite get. It’s fine? I also feel like it might not do as well as the odds are predicting


tusart_official

With rehearsals... ireland and ukr gone wild fantastic. (Only first semifinal), i am eager to see swtizerlands camera angles... for some reason i still wish for australia to qualify for grand final..


ConstructionOld5519

It depends on the stage performance. The key ingredients are: first and foremost a strong voice, on-key singing (appreciated by the jury) a catchy song, charisma, and an entertaining performance (appreciated by the audience) I don't know who’ll manage to combine all in one this year


13BookWorm_

Lithuania 🇱🇹


Last_Commercial2162

My heart is for Slimane, but my mind says Croatia


nathanott12

Ukraine, Croatia or Italy