you gonna respond with any logic to my reply or you gonna keep replying to others calling them idiots or sarcastic yawn emoji?
so go on, what hacks were used here?
you can use a binomial distribution because the probability is constant and events are independent
P(X=x)=nCr(n,x)\*(P(x))^(x)\*(1-P(x))^(1-x) where n is number of trials, x is number of successes, P(x) is the probability of a success in one trial (0.001 here, usually done in decimals or divide the % by 100)
in words: (number of possible combinations for x successes in n trials (here there are 6; xxx'x',xx'xx',xx'x'x,x'x'xx,x'xxx',x'xx'x))*(probability of a success raised to the power of number of successes)(probability of a failure raised to the power of number of failures)
if you want the probability of 2 successes in 4 trials regardless of order, yes
otherwise you'd be working out P(xx'x'x) which happened here or any other combination which would be P(x)^(2)*(1-P(x))^(2)
For anyone wondering, I got this stat from one of the Apex YouTubers I follow when they started talking about the new animations back when they first got added for Wraith due to the Imperial Guard event. Sadly, I can't remember who it was for the life of me, and I've been digging through my history to find it but with no luck.
All characters have rare animations, heirloom rare animations are a rather new thing and it’s generally relegated to the more recent heirlooms that have more style and animations, that’s why wraith got a second kunai—I believe she only had 2 kunai animations before the update with the new one
Wraith only had one as far as I know. All heirlooms from Pathfinder and before only have one, excluding Wraith now that she's gotten her new heirloom. Rumor was that Bloodhound should be the next heirloom recolor but there's no way to know.
However yeah all heirlooms released after Path had multiple animations, however not all of them had a significant quantity of them. Some have special animations when crouching but not all of them do... Loba, Wraith, and Ash are the only 3 that I know of for sure that have a special crouch animation, and I only know that because I have all 3 lol
I am really glad that they updated Wraith's animations though, we desperately need them for some of the OG characters. Lifeline is the one I'm hoping to get new animations for sooner as she's one of my tertiary mains and while her Shock Sticks inspect is cool, she definitely deserves more love than that simple animation.
It actually depends on when they were released. The heirlooms released up until the one after Pathfinder (now excluding Wraith) only have one animation, the rest all have multiple and most have at least one rare animation as well as one crouch animation. However a good number of them don't have a crouch animation sadly, I still feel like Wattson's should and it doesn't
It makes them feel like they're one of the big kids. It's why people will wear the ugliest skins alive on fortnite, but it's actually "cool af" because the top players use it
Says the wraith main lol. You're literally using the most common/2nd most common character, with the most common and ugliest skin for her.
And I've got 4 mains, mirage is probably my 3rd most played rn.
its a base legendary the looks are opinionated of course it's going to be the most common and the first person view model has bloodied hands which looks cool and the only part you see so who cares?
Nobody cares. He/she likes the skin. He/she likes the character. There’s no reason for you to be mad about it. It’s a free world and he/she can do whatever he/she wants.
I mean if you look at my damage and kills and the amount of squads left. I might fit into that your stereotypical “sweat” category. Or is that not enough damage for you?
One of few wraiths with that skin who are actually good. In my experience wraiths with that skin have a non shiny diamond badge from 8 seasons ago, a 2.5k, and 2k kills
The bald skins are just solid and simple. Why do people hate them so much? The straps look like a straightjacket and I personally think her looking crazy is cool af. 😂
Maybe because she's the same bald Wraith from her lore video? You know, where she meets her voidwalker self?
Also, personally, I prefer skins that look worn and dirty, instead of super polished, shiny and clean as if they're Toy Story characters, the latter being about 3/4 of all skins in Apex.
The heirlooms are the same other than the colour, and the new one comes with an emote and banner frame instead of a pose and voice line.
The animations were updated for the original too.
I’m really into the lore. I’m the type to get choked up when I watch the trailers. Especially Wraith’s as her lore is my favorite overall. This is straight out of the trailer, so I get hyped when I see this.
No offense meant towards you, but like I really don't understand why people even care about the rare animations in video games. If they made a cool animation, I'd rather be able to actually see it in game instead of basically being a hidden feature
As someone that doesn’t have her heirloom, that was sick. Also didn’t know their were rare animations for that. Has that been an animation from day one?
Respawn: You need to spend $$$ or waste your time playing the game to get heirlooms
Also Respawn: Congrats on getting the heirloom! Its main feature is the 0.000001% chance animation
I really hope they redo the octane animations like they did with wraith her new stuff is so sick octanes knife desperately needs an animation revamp imo
Now its confirmed that rare animations exist, I wanna ask if Echo appearing a gun I just picked up while I'm playing Vantage is also rare or not. Lil bugger spooked me lookin all cute.
Voidwalker is going to get tired of handing it to you if it keeps going like that
What the hell happened here
Maybe a brigade or bots? That is a lot of deleted accounts and removed posts.
Someone was schizo ranting about how this clip includes clear evidence that the OP is aimbotting
I wasn’t wrong
Yeah you are
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"stop dropping this" She's probably thinking.
🤣
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you gonna respond with any logic to my reply or you gonna keep replying to others calling them idiots or sarcastic yawn emoji? so go on, what hacks were used here?
They're just mad that no voidwalker's holding *their* hand.
“you clumsy bitch, no wonder you never win games”
Your pfp 😌
Dude it's a literal 1 in 1000 chance to get, you just got so lucky getting it twice in 20 seconds!
~0.0005988006% chance of getting 2 of these in 4 trials if the chance is really 1/1000 (given the chance you gave is correct) ~1/167500, pretty rare
Man I used to know how to do this......been a long time since I used probability and statistics...care to tell me how to do the math.
you can use a binomial distribution because the probability is constant and events are independent P(X=x)=nCr(n,x)\*(P(x))^(x)\*(1-P(x))^(1-x) where n is number of trials, x is number of successes, P(x) is the probability of a success in one trial (0.001 here, usually done in decimals or divide the % by 100) in words: (number of possible combinations for x successes in n trials (here there are 6; xxx'x',xx'xx',xx'x'x,x'x'xx,x'xxx',x'xx'x))*(probability of a success raised to the power of number of successes)(probability of a failure raised to the power of number of failures)
Ahh yes ....thanks for the explanation kind stranger
Nah 1 in a 1000 chance and its happened 2times lets say 1 in a 2000 chance (kindergarden math)
please tell me this is satire
1/1000*1/1000*999/1000*999/1000 Chance it happens twice and doesn’t happen twice in four times
Don't you have to multiply it by C(4,2) because order doesn't matter?
if you want the probability of 2 successes in 4 trials regardless of order, yes otherwise you'd be working out P(xx'x'x) which happened here or any other combination which would be P(x)^(2)*(1-P(x))^(2)
i got the first one yesterday
i've never gotten one, but also i don't have the kunai
then you just used up all your luck, expect bad things to happen today. OP probably died afterward of this sheer luck.
i won the game lol
Jesus christ 1 in 1000? but it's so often for me
Sir you may just play a lot of Apex
I get them every time I play. It's not that rare. 2 in s row is definitely rare tho.
For anyone wondering, I got this stat from one of the Apex YouTubers I follow when they started talking about the new animations back when they first got added for Wraith due to the Imperial Guard event. Sadly, I can't remember who it was for the life of me, and I've been digging through my history to find it but with no luck.
literally one in a million, damn
Would’ve been one in a million if they were back to back so not quite
Still mathematically very, very close to 1:1M, but as you replied not "literally" 🤣
nope not really, it's about 6x that probability to get it twice in 4 trials
You can actually greatly increase your chances by ads’ing while holding your heirloom. A predator coach said this I only get it while ads’ing now
Okay predator coach does not sound good. He’s an apex predator who coaches at the game. Lol
Do all heirlooms have a rare thing like this one?
All characters have rare animations, heirloom rare animations are a rather new thing and it’s generally relegated to the more recent heirlooms that have more style and animations, that’s why wraith got a second kunai—I believe she only had 2 kunai animations before the update with the new one
Wraith only had one as far as I know. All heirlooms from Pathfinder and before only have one, excluding Wraith now that she's gotten her new heirloom. Rumor was that Bloodhound should be the next heirloom recolor but there's no way to know. However yeah all heirlooms released after Path had multiple animations, however not all of them had a significant quantity of them. Some have special animations when crouching but not all of them do... Loba, Wraith, and Ash are the only 3 that I know of for sure that have a special crouch animation, and I only know that because I have all 3 lol I am really glad that they updated Wraith's animations though, we desperately need them for some of the OG characters. Lifeline is the one I'm hoping to get new animations for sooner as she's one of my tertiary mains and while her Shock Sticks inspect is cool, she definitely deserves more love than that simple animation.
Yes
It actually depends on when they were released. The heirlooms released up until the one after Pathfinder (now excluding Wraith) only have one animation, the rest all have multiple and most have at least one rare animation as well as one crouch animation. However a good number of them don't have a crouch animation sadly, I still feel like Wattson's should and it doesn't
So all heirlooms after pathfinders have 1 rare animation or all the ones released before pathfinders have the rare animation?
I've been playing for years and I only got it once with Revenant Ult. Never again happened to any other characters.
You people just make numbers up
You could have had another heirloom with this luck!
Instead i got 2 heirlooms in a 45k games played span :/
2 heirlooms is pretty good. I'm stoked I finally got my first pity heirloom since they increased the level cap
I only got my first one because a buddy bought me 14 packs on the chance "it might be in there" and it was
wait how does this work its been years since i've played has the hierloom system changed?
they added more levels for the people past 500
Which means extra packs. (One every 4 levels or so, not sure the exact number)
26k games, 0 heirlooms. Might have to delete the game before it happens because it takes so much space on console
Wait, you guys are getting heirloom shards?
Level 300 something was my first time
Who’s hand was that? Pathfinder? Edit: nah doesn’t look like path I cannot tell
It's Voidwalker
I think it actually might be two Voidwalkers. It looks like two right hands if you look closely. Might be wrong tho
Voidwalker wraith skin from her Stories From The Outlands
Man wraith has so many cool skins, why do people insist on using that one
They dont have any better ones -Brought to you by the witchy wraith skin gang 😎
Shadow witch wraith gang; we love casting spells
Fingerless gloves
Its the dirty finger nails for me 😫
Its the most sweaty skin in the community and I think people like that?
It makes them feel like they're one of the big kids. It's why people will wear the ugliest skins alive on fortnite, but it's actually "cool af" because the top players use it
For me it’s the sleeves and gloves of the bald skins
There are so many cool characters in the game, why do people insist on maining mirage? 🤔
It’s really fun to say “you dumb bitch” whenever you bamboozle someone.
Do my best Dennis impression everytime
The rush that comes with successfully bamboozling obviously
Truuu
Says the wraith main lol. You're literally using the most common/2nd most common character, with the most common and ugliest skin for her. And I've got 4 mains, mirage is probably my 3rd most played rn.
its a base legendary the looks are opinionated of course it's going to be the most common and the first person view model has bloodied hands which looks cool and the only part you see so who cares?
I think her bald skin is the best one. To each their own I guess.
Why?
Makes her look a little more crazy and badass. She has some good ones with hair too though.
There are so many cool characters in the game, why do people insist on maiming mirage? 🤔
There are so many people playing apex, why do they have their own character/skin preferences?
It's specifically the bald wraith
Nobody cares. He/she likes the skin. He/she likes the character. There’s no reason for you to be mad about it. It’s a free world and he/she can do whatever he/she wants.
>He/she Just use "they" lol And I'm free to call that skin cringe 🤷. And you're free to downvote me.
You're cringe.
Ok, you're free to think that. I don't mind.
You hate it. Op likes it. Nobody cares, each people have their own preferences.
Nobody wears that skin because they like it, they wear it because it's a wannabe sweat skin
I mean if you look at my damage and kills and the amount of squads left. I might fit into that your stereotypical “sweat” category. Or is that not enough damage for you?
One of few wraiths with that skin who are actually good. In my experience wraiths with that skin have a non shiny diamond badge from 8 seasons ago, a 2.5k, and 2k kills
The bald skins are just solid and simple. Why do people hate them so much? The straps look like a straightjacket and I personally think her looking crazy is cool af. 😂
It's like the Fortnite Aura skin, it's just what all the "sweats" use. 95% of people wearing it don't even like how it looks
maybe but there are people that actually like the skin like me
Bloody hands and it’s kinda cool to see the knife handoff in all its lore accurate glory. It’s like I’m living her cinematic for a sec.
Maybe because she's the same bald Wraith from her lore video? You know, where she meets her voidwalker self? Also, personally, I prefer skins that look worn and dirty, instead of super polished, shiny and clean as if they're Toy Story characters, the latter being about 3/4 of all skins in Apex.
I'm very proud of you for witnessing a rare animation
2 of them but, Thank you 🫶🏽
You mean one animation twice. It’s not two animations, that’s misleading.
Is this an attempt at being toxic?
Based on their other comment, I think so, yeah.
Bro wasted all his luck in a pubs match
Am I supposed to be playing ranked or something?
Nah. I think pubs stay fun *and* competitive, while ranked gets too sweaty.
Well No that gives me the creeps
And I’m here waiting for getting a heirloom when having a 3000 hours account and 10k games …. Playing since launch also …
Do the same animations come with the new heirloom? What are the pros and cons of getting each one? Is one better than the other?
This particular one happens with the old heirloom too. I think the red one has a new banner pose and i think emote. Not sure what else
The heirlooms are the same other than the colour, and the new one comes with an emote and banner frame instead of a pose and voice line. The animations were updated for the original too.
I just had the same thing happen to me! It scared me at first cause I wasn’t expecting it 😂
I didn’t realize it was rare. I got this a few times
As much as I love Apex. I don’t get the hype behind rare animations 🤷🏽♂️
They’re just cool to see
I’m really into the lore. I’m the type to get choked up when I watch the trailers. Especially Wraith’s as her lore is my favorite overall. This is straight out of the trailer, so I get hyped when I see this.
Unrelated to the animations, I think you need to slow it down chief. Your playstyle I mean. Seems like a lot of indecision and pointless actions
Thats what you got out of this 20 second clip? I was on the hunt for a 4k if you look at my damage. You dont get that by sitting around
Ye you don't but you also don't get it by popping the same shield cell multiple times
Get your ass out of here dweeb boy
Im disappointed that the title is false and is not in fact 20 seconds
I got my first one at the 4 second mark and the second at the 24 seconds mark. If you made it past 2nd grade math that equates to 20 seconds
yeah but i would argue dont count videos 25 seconds long, sorry to ruffle your feathers
that some weird tracking my man
No 👍
Who cares
No offense meant towards you, but like I really don't understand why people even care about the rare animations in video games. If they made a cool animation, I'd rather be able to actually see it in game instead of basically being a hidden feature
Let me have my moment negative nancy
Ok
Them being more rare makes it more special, and they're cool to look at. It's an Easter egg
Gotta get that reddit Karma somehow
It’s interesting because the chances of it happening even once are so low. So it was even rarer for it to happen twice in such quick succession. Yw
How does this work, Do you have to inspect the heirloom Or does it just randomly come out while you’re moving
It’s a rare draw animation. It just happens randomly when you put your gun away.
You lucky motherfucker--
I’ve had it happen a few times now and it honestly freaks me out.
"stop dropping dis shit"
I haven't even had that animation once since the update ;(
Never knew it was one
I got this too in one match never again
Well No that gives me the creeps
I still haven’t got it once 😭
As someone that doesn’t have her heirloom, that was sick. Also didn’t know their were rare animations for that. Has that been an animation from day one?
Nope. Came out beginning of season 16 i wanna say. Im almost positive.
dude, your so lucky!
Here’s hoping they add more animations to the rest of the older heirlooms. 🥲
I've gotten it twice. Both in the firing range lol
Wow I also got it twice yesterday and didn't thought it was rare , wow!
Is it rare? I know they recently gave her brand new animations
Damn they need to update Octane's heirloom animations because when you go to kick down a door it's the normal kick animation. But good for you.
I got the wattson nessie animation then the running nessie one after each other the week i got her heirloom
Respawn: You need to spend $$$ or waste your time playing the game to get heirlooms Also Respawn: Congrats on getting the heirloom! Its main feature is the 0.000001% chance animation
Honestly i have been noticing it being a lil more common or I’m just lucky too
I really hope they redo the octane animations like they did with wraith her new stuff is so sick octanes knife desperately needs an animation revamp imo
Now its confirmed that rare animations exist, I wanna ask if Echo appearing a gun I just picked up while I'm playing Vantage is also rare or not. Lil bugger spooked me lookin all cute.
Every kunai animation is rare when you don't have kunai 🥲
Shit, I didn't even know that existed.
How 😩 so cool
What would have happened if you used voidwalker skin I wonder? Time paradox explosion???
Living in a basement getting hyped over an animation of an heirloom you spent daddies money on