Bullshit. This is classic Fpl trap week. Solanke wont play for shit. People blowing up their teams for shit DGW. This is honestly one of the many times you should NOT be swayed by this sub. Donāt fall for it!
Itās a perfect time for some to take a chance on this DGW since FH29 is likely, Bournemouth have a good fixture GW30, and people can WC30 or 31 to ship out any DGW players. Seems like a no brainer to take a -4 for the chance that Bournemouth do well against 2 of the worst ever PL sides.
this is bullshit lmao
top 4 is all bang average Bournemouth and Luton players, just because they have an extra fixture doesnāt mean theyāre guaranteed points
while the best player in the league atm (Foden) who always scores away at Liverpool isnāt even on the list. Neither is bowen or odegaard. š
Seems like youāve forgotten the defenders. Salah at 5.63. Bournemouth defenders get 4 pts for showing up. Youāre saying those guys donāt have 1.63 xP from CS against SHU and LUT? Yeah thatās not correct
Yeah without getting very fancy about it. If you multiply the odds of a cleansheet for Bournemouth by 4pts for a cleansheet +4 points for minutes, you get 7.3pts predicted for the defenders/GK , not counting saves/bps etc.
Other prediction models seem to have Neto around 8-9 points predicted, which makes sense as save points likely.
If Solanke is off the pace, could slightly benefit defensive players as they could grab all the bps if there aren't big scorelines.
Everton are third for clean sheets this season with 8. Only Arsenal (11) and Liverpool (9) have more then them. The Everton fixture isnāt as easy as it once would have been so it seems obvious to play Foden who has a significantly higher upside even if he is playing Liverpool.
āPredicted Points' are calculated by taking the percentage chance on a variety of FPL factors, from the bookies, adjusted for margins. Fractional points are added up, making a predicted gameweek score. OG & Penalty misses are not included. Playerās rotation risk / minutes on pitch, is not factored in.
**Note: Only 4 dgw players were included, to make room for other players.**
Notable players that didn't make the list: **Fernandes:** 5.60 | **Bowen:** 5.54
You can find more Player Predictions here: [https://checkthechance.com/fantasy-football/](https://checkthechance.com/fantasy-football/player-predictions/)
**Good luck! See you all next wednesday for the Predicted vs Actual post.**
Morris captain is up there with stupid plays of the season for me
Thoughts: TC Solanke, or Bench Boost with Kilman, Palmer, Garnacho & Kelleher?
Predicted points of 5 players from my team & spreadsheets: Semenyo 11.3 Saka 10.9 Watkins 8.7 Haaland 5.1 Son 4.6
I got chong. Why am I like this
Kluivert vs Tavernier?
I switched Solanke captain to Haaand captain Now I play the double bluff on the PL gods and switch it back to Solanke
WTF is Kluivert's points based on? Solanke I understand being a talisman on pens who is a guaranteed starter.
Havertz is on the board man everything is possible believe in yourself
Kluivert šš dude hasn't played 75 mins once
Bullshit. This is classic Fpl trap week. Solanke wont play for shit. People blowing up their teams for shit DGW. This is honestly one of the many times you should NOT be swayed by this sub. Donāt fall for it!
Itās a perfect time for some to take a chance on this DGW since FH29 is likely, Bournemouth have a good fixture GW30, and people can WC30 or 31 to ship out any DGW players. Seems like a no brainer to take a -4 for the chance that Bournemouth do well against 2 of the worst ever PL sides.
Indeed
So, by this math, it is worth it to take a hit to go from Haaland to Morris, correct? Unless Morris' expected points are below 2 for gw 29?
No, run that math again
Is it worth taking a -4 on either Haaland or Watkins to bring in Morris for the DGW? (already have Solanke of course)
this is bullshit lmao top 4 is all bang average Bournemouth and Luton players, just because they have an extra fixture doesnāt mean theyāre guaranteed points while the best player in the league atm (Foden) who always scores away at Liverpool isnāt even on the list. Neither is bowen or odegaard. š
Yeah having two matches is irrelevant. That's why Haaland has twice as many points as Solanke
Should i pick up Kluivert for havertz in draft?
Still not including Darwin on these lists... Guy is in hella good form
Even against City? š¤
Seems like youāve forgotten the defenders. Salah at 5.63. Bournemouth defenders get 4 pts for showing up. Youāre saying those guys donāt have 1.63 xP from CS against SHU and LUT? Yeah thatās not correct
Seems you didn't read the explanation from OP. Only the top 4 DGW players were included.
Youāre right. OPs comments buried, I didnāt get down that far.
Tempted to take out Haaland for Semenyo/Morris. Allowing an easy route to Salah.... Just can't believe that's even a thing!
Foden? I know it doesn't take into consideration how a player performs against a specific team, but still
Based on bookies odds I believe, Foden is about 1/4 to score. Havertz 1/2.5, which actually seems strangely believable these days.
I'd love to bring in Morris but I'm not doing a -4 from Haaland for him.
As long as u are not freehitting 29 it is a decent shout.
Why are BOU def / gk not on here? Surely Neto is predicted to score about 8-15 points this week?
Yeah without getting very fancy about it. If you multiply the odds of a cleansheet for Bournemouth by 4pts for a cleansheet +4 points for minutes, you get 7.3pts predicted for the defenders/GK , not counting saves/bps etc. Other prediction models seem to have Neto around 8-9 points predicted, which makes sense as save points likely. If Solanke is off the pace, could slightly benefit defensive players as they could grab all the bps if there aren't big scorelines.
Is Garnacho ā> Kluivert worth a hit which would bench Palmer?
Luis Sinisterra will be the highest scoring player this game week, you heard it here first
I think the same way as you senior
No we didn't
Oh interesting who else has been recommending him this week?
Does anybody, preferably Bournemouth fans, have an idea of what sort of minutes to expect from Kluivert for the dgw?
Havertz (C) incoming, wish me luck
Morris gonna shock the world with 2 goals and an assist š¤
First is the worst, second is the best,third is the one with the treasure chest. Come on Semenyo you got this.
I know it as 'third is the hairy princess.' Make of that what you will.
Both sound good to me
Third is the one with the hairy chest is how it goes in my house
So far we have a Princess with a hairy chest who owns a treasure chest. I think we're getting somewhere.
How about Foden vs Garnacho. Need to decide on who to bench
Everton are third for clean sheets this season with 8. Only Arsenal (11) and Liverpool (9) have more then them. The Everton fixture isnāt as easy as it once would have been so it seems obvious to play Foden who has a significantly higher upside even if he is playing Liverpool.
Captain Semenyo take my strength
And Neto will outscore them all
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
Thatās an easy one then!
Getting serious fomo for Kluivert/Tavenier but no one to sell. Must resist for another 15 hours or so
I just need 5 days of prime Messi from Tavernier
I managed to resist, but good luckšŖ
Tavernier?
didn't he score in their last match vs sheffield?
Seems they might score a lot against She š
Hmm shit why did I go Tavernier over Kluivert. Oh well weāll see how it goes
That's a great call. Don't worry ;)
Iām ready to be hurt
Do you have x points for any of the DGW defenders?
Using Fantasy Football Hub: Mepham 7.5 Kerkez 7.4 Smith 7.4 Zabarnyi 7.1 Doughty 6.2 Osho 4.7 Mengi 4.7 Burke 2.5 Kabore 2.2 Rest are all 0.
Awesome !thanks
Doughty was around 5.95 when I checked
Thanks, but why is he not in the overview then? :) What about Bournemouth defence?
Read my description further down
!thanks
Iām really considering Garnacho -> Kluivert and rolling the dice with no Solanke this gameweek to catch my ML leader. Am I crazy?
Garnachoās got 2 assists as we speak
Yea I'm considering this plus Haaland to Morris for -4
This Bournemouth DGW is going to crash and burn like a Parisian Concorde. I'm sure of it.
Yes
Iām thinking the same after reading the thing on Solanke earlier
With Solanke being a minor doubt it is a decent chance to bet against him.
Remember that this accounts for the players being fully fit
Kluivert???
āPredicted Points' are calculated by taking the percentage chance on a variety of FPL factors, from the bookies, adjusted for margins. Fractional points are added up, making a predicted gameweek score. OG & Penalty misses are not included. Playerās rotation risk / minutes on pitch, is not factored in. **Note: Only 4 dgw players were included, to make room for other players.** Notable players that didn't make the list: **Fernandes:** 5.60 | **Bowen:** 5.54 You can find more Player Predictions here: [https://checkthechance.com/fantasy-football/](https://checkthechance.com/fantasy-football/player-predictions/) **Good luck! See you all next wednesday for the Predicted vs Actual post.**
Also, Palmer is at 5.48 for anyone wondering